ArticleChina CDC weekly2021
Projection of Temperature-Related Excess Mortality by Integrating Population Adaptability Under Changing Climate - China, 2050s and 2080s.
Article in China CDC weekly, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- The dividend period of climate change-related mortality in China is coming to an end.Fundamental research · 2026Article
- Health Co-Benefits of Environmental Changes in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in China.Health data science · 2024Review
- The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013.Frontiers of environmental science & engineering · 2023Article
- Assessing future heat stress across China: combined effects of heat and relative humidity on mortality.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Projections of heatwave-attributable mortality under climate change and future population scenarios in China.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
- Global climate change and human health: Pathways and possible solutions.Eco-Environment & Health · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?: An increasing number of studies have projected temperature-related mortality, but few consider the change of population's adaptability to future temperature and mortality burden from cold and heat effects. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT?: This study offers a comprehensive characterization of human adaptability and excess mortality burden of temperature across various regions of China. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE?: The temperature-related excess mortality was projected to increase in the 2050s and decrease in the 2080s. Heat adaptability was projected to increase in the future, but along with the rising temperatures, the heat-related excess mortality continuously rose, except for the low-speed rising scenario. Although the excess mortality of cold was projected to decrease in the nearer future, it might not keep declining in the long run, due to the decreasing cold-adaptability, which deserves more attention.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.