Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34593969›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2021

Invasive potential of tropical fruit flies in temperate regions under climate change.

Andrew Paul Gutierrez, Luigi Ponti, Markus Neteler, David Maxwell Suckling, José Ricardo Cure

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Andrew Paul GutierrezCenter for the Analysis of Sustainable Agricultural Systems (www.casasglobal.org), Kensington, CA, USA. CASAS.Global@berkeley.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7773-1715
Luigi PontiCenter for the Analysis of Sustainable Agricultural Systems (www.casasglobal.org), Kensington, CA, USA. luigi.ponti@enea.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4972-8265
Markus Netelermundialis GmbH & Co. KG, Bonn, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1916-1966
David Maxwell SucklingThe New Zealand Institute for Plant and Food Research Ltd., Christchurch, New Zealand.
José Ricardo CureCenter for the Analysis of Sustainable Agricultural Systems (www.casasglobal.org), Kensington, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tropical fruit flies are considered among the most economically important invasive species detected in temperate areas of the United States and the European Union. Detections often trigger quarantine and eradication programs that are conducted without a holistic understanding of the threat posed. Weather-driven physiologically-based demographic models are used to estimate the geographic range, relative abundance, and threat posed by four tropical tephritid fruit flies (Mediterranean fruit fly, melon fly, oriental fruit fly, and Mexican fruit fly) in North and Central America, and the European-Mediterranean region under extant and climate change weather (RCP8.5 and A1B scenarios). Most temperate areas under tropical fruit fly propagule pressure have not been suitable for establishment, but suitability is predicted to increase in some areas with climate change. To meet this ongoing challenge, investments are needed to collect sound biological data to develop mechanistic models to predict the geographic range and relative abundance of these and other invasive species, and to put eradication policies on a scientific basis.

Indexed as

Animal DistributionClimate ChangeIntroduced SpeciesTephritidaeAnimalsCentral AmericaMediterranean RegionNorth AmericaSpecies SpecificityUnited States

Identifiers

PMID34593969
PMCPMC8484444

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.