Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34592948›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2021

Analytical challenges in estimating the effect of exposures that are bounded by follow-up time: experiences from the Blood Stream Infection-Focus on Outcomes study.

Rebecca Evans, Katie Pike, Alasdair MacGowan, Chris A Rogers

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rebecca EvansBristol Trials Centre (CTEU), Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Level 7, Bristol Royal Infirmary, Queen's Building, Bristol, BS2 8HW, UK. becci.evans@bristol.ac.uk.
Katie PikeBristol Trials Centre (CTEU), Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Level 7, Bristol Royal Infirmary, Queen's Building, Bristol, BS2 8HW, UK.
Alasdair MacGowanInfection Sciences, Pathology, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK.
Chris A RogersBristol Trials Centre (CTEU), Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Level 7, Bristol Royal Infirmary, Queen's Building, Bristol, BS2 8HW, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo illustrate the challenges of estimating the effect of an exposure that is bounded by duration of follow-up on all-cause 28-day mortality, whilst simultaneously addressing missing data and time-varying covariates. STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsBSI-FOO is a multicentre cohort study with the primary aim of quantifying the effect of modifiable risk factors, including time to initiation of therapy, on all-cause 28-day mortality in patients with bloodstream infection. The primary analysis involved two Cox proportional hazard models, first one for non-modifiable risk factors and second one for modifiable risk factors, with a risk score calculated from the first model included as a covariate in the second model. Modifiable risk factors considered in this study were recorded daily for a maximum of 28 days after infection. Follow-up was split at daily intervals from day 0 to 28 with values of daily collected data updated at each interval (i.e., one row per patient per day). ANALYTICAL CHALLENGES: Estimating the effect of time to initiation of treatment on survival is analytically challenging since only those who survive to time t can wait until time t to start treatment, introducing immortal time bias. Time-varying covariates representing cumulative counts were used for variables bounded by survival time e.g. the cumulative count of days before first receipt of treatment. Multiple imputation using chained equations was used to impute missing data, using conditional imputation to avoid imputing non-applicable data e.g. ward data after discharge.

conclusionUsing time-varying covariates represented by cumulative counts within a one row per day per patient framework can reduce the risk of bias in effect estimates. The approach followed uses established methodology and is easily implemented in standard statistical packages.

Indexed as

BacteremiaBiasCohort StudiesFollow-Up StudiesHumansProportional Hazards ModelsBloodstream infectionImmortal time biasModifiable exposureMortalityTime-varying covariates

Identifiers

PMID34592948
PMCPMC8482664

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.