Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34590374›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2022

Using Mendelian randomization to explore the gateway hypothesis: possible causal effects of smoking initiation and alcohol consumption on substance use outcomes.

Zoe E Reed, Robyn E Wootton, Marcus R Munafò

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Climate Change and Substance-Use Behaviors: A Risk-Pathways Framework.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Zoe E ReedSchool of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2990-6979
Robyn E WoottonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3961-3202
Marcus R MunafòSchool of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4049-993X
University of Bristol · GBUniversity Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Department of HealthMedical Research Council MC_UU_00011/7
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsInitial use of drugs such as tobacco and alcohol may lead to subsequent more problematic drug use-the 'gateway' hypothesis. However, observed associations may be due to a shared underlying risk factor, such as trait impulsivity. We used bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) to test the gateway hypothesis.

designOur main method was inverse-variance weighted (IVW) MR, with other methods included as sensitivity analyses (where consistent results across methods would raise confidence in our primary results). MR is a genetic instrumental variable approach used to support stronger causal inference in observational studies. SETTING AND

participantsGenome-wide association summary data among European ancestry individuals for smoking initiation, alcoholic drinks per week, cannabis use and dependence, cocaine and opioid dependence (n = 1749-1 232 091). MEASUREMENTS: Genetic variants for exposure.

findingsWe found evidence of causal effects from smoking initiation to increased drinks per week [(IVW): β = 0.06; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.03-0.09; P = 9.44 × 10

conclusionsBidirectional Mendelian randomization testing of the gateway hypothesis reveals that smoking initiation may lead to increased alcohol consumption, cannabis use and cannabis dependence. Cannabis use may also lead to smoking initiation and opioid dependence to alcohol consumption. However, given that tobacco and alcohol use typically begin before other drug use, these results may reflect a shared risk factor or a bidirectional effect for cannabis use and opioid dependence.

Indexed as

CannabisMarijuana AbuseOpioid-Related DisordersAlcohol DrinkingGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMendelian Randomization AnalysisNicotianaPolymorphism, Single NucleotideSmokingAlcohol consumptioncannabisgateway hypothesisMendelian randomizationsmoking initiationsubstance use

Identifiers

PMID34590374
PMCPMC9453475
OpenAlexW3195357920

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.