Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34587207›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

The level of postoperative care influences mortality prediction by the POSPOM score: A retrospective cohort analysis.

Jan Menzenbach, Yannik C Layer, Yonah L Layer, Andreas Mayr, Mark Coburn, Maria Wittmann, Tobias Hilbert

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06731296 (Characteristics of General Surgery Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit, Villavicencio, 2022-2024.), which is not on this map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06731296 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Characteristics of General Surgery Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit, Villavicencio, 2022-2024.

TypeobservationalSponsorHospital Departamental de VillavicencioRan2026 to 2029Enrolled1,000ConditionsCritical Illness, Postoperative ComplicationsArmsPresence of a risk factor
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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  3. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jan MenzenbachDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Yannik C LayerDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2379-3352
Yonah L LayerDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Andreas MayrInstitute of Medical Biometrics, Informatics and Epidemiology (IMBIE), University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Mark CoburnDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7930-0270
Maria WittmannDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4786-7712
Tobias HilbertDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2090-8812
University Hospital Bonn · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Preoperative Score to Predict Postoperative Mortality (POSPOM) assesses the patients' individual risk for postsurgical intrahospital death based on preoperative parameters. We hypothesized that mortality predicted by the POSPOM varies depending on the level of postoperative care.

methodsAll patients age over 18 years undergoing inpatient surgery or interventions involving anesthesia at a German university hospital between January 2006, and December 2017, were assessed for eligibility for this retrospective study. Endpoint was death in hospital following surgery. Adaptation of the POSPOM to the German coding system was performed as previously described. The whole cohort was divided according to the level of postoperative care (normal ward vs. intensive care unit (ICU) admission within 24 h vs. later than 24 h, respectively).

results199,258 patients were finally included. Observed intrahospital mortality was 2.0% (4,053 deaths). 9.6% of patients were transferred to ICU following surgery, and mortality of those patients was increased already at low POSPOM values of 15. 17,165 patients were admitted to ICU within 24 h, and these patients were older, had more comorbidities, or underwent more invasive surgery, reflected by a higher median POSPOM score compared to the normal-ward group (29 vs. 17, p <0.001). Mortality in that cohort was significantly increased to 8.7% (p <0.001). 2,043 patients were admitted to ICU later than 24 h following surgery (therefore denoted unscheduled admission), and the median POSPOM value of that group was 23. Observed mortality in this cohort was highest (13.5%, p <0.001 vs. ICU admission <24 h cohort).

conclusionIncreased mortality in patients transferred to high-care wards reflects the significance of, e.g., intra- or early postoperative events for the patients' outcome. Therefore, scoring systems considering only preoperative variables such as the POSPOM reveal limitations to predict the individual benefit of postoperative ICU admission.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAge FactorsComorbidityCritical CareFemaleHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative CareRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID34587207
PMCPMC8480745
OpenAlexW3202586606

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.