Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34586079›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2021

Predicting Norovirus in the United States Using Google Trends: Infodemiology Study.

Kai Yuan, Guangrui Huang, Lepeng Wang, Ting Wang, Wenbin Liu, Haixu Jiang, Albert C Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kai Yuan *School of Life Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7239-449X
Guangrui Huang *School of Life Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1846-0227
Lepeng Wang *School of Humanities, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6735-8299
Ting WangSchool of Life Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5073-2224
Wenbin LiuSchool of Life Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9080-8040
Haixu JiangSchool of Life Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4510-7042
Albert C YangDigital Medicine Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taiwan, Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-2794-9649

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNorovirus is a contagious disease. The transmission of norovirus spreads quickly and easily in various ways. Because effective methods to prevent or treat norovirus have not been discovered, it is important to rapidly recognize and report norovirus outbreaks in the early phase. Internet search has been a useful method for people to access information immediately. With the precise record of internet search trends, internet search has been a useful tool to manifest infectious disease outbreaks.

objectiveIn this study, we tried to discover the correlation between internet search terms and norovirus infection.

methodsThe internet search trend data of norovirus were obtained from Google Trends. We used cross-correlation analysis to discover the temporal correlation between norovirus and other terms. We also used multiple linear regression with the stepwise method to recognize the most important predictors of internet search trends and norovirus. In addition, we evaluated the temporal correlation between actual norovirus cases and internet search terms in New York, California, and the United States as a whole.

resultsSome Google search terms such as gastroenteritis, watery diarrhea, and stomach bug coincided with norovirus Google Trends. Some Google search terms such as contagious, travel, and party presented earlier than norovirus Google Trends. Some Google search terms such as dehydration, bar, and coronavirus presented several months later than norovirus Google Trends. We found that fever, gastroenteritis, poison, cruise, wedding, and watery diarrhea were important factors correlated with norovirus Google Trends. In actual norovirus cases from New York, California, and the United States as a whole, some Google search terms presented with, earlier, or later than actual norovirus cases.

conclusionsOur study provides novel strategy-based internet search evidence regarding the epidemiology of norovirus.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsGastroenteritisNorovirusDisease OutbreaksHumansInternetSearch EngineUnited StatescorrelationGoogle Trendsnorovirusoutbreakpredictors

Identifiers

PMID34586079
PMCPMC8515228

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.