Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34566434›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2021

Risk Stratification in Patients with Ischemic Stroke and Residual Cardiovascular Risk with Current Secondary Prevention.

Mari Nordbø Gynnild, Steven H J Hageman, Jannick A N Dorresteijn, Olav Spigset, Stian Lydersen, Torgeir Wethal, Ingvild Saltvedt, Frank L J Visseren, Hanne Ellekjær

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
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  7. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Mari Nordbø GynnildDepartment of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Faculty of Medicine and Health Science, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-8623-7911
Steven H J HagemanDepartment of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Jannick A N DorresteijnDepartment of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Olav SpigsetDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, St. Olavs Hospital, Trondheim University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
Stian LydersenDepartment of Mental Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Torgeir WethalDepartment of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Faculty of Medicine and Health Science, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Ingvild SaltvedtDepartment of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Faculty of Medicine and Health Science, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Frank L J VisserenDepartment of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Hanne EllekjærDepartment of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Faculty of Medicine and Health Science, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Norwegian University of Science and Technology · NOUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeSuboptimal secondary prevention in patients with stroke causes a remaining cardiovascular risk desirable to reduce. We have validated a prognostic model for secondary preventive settings and estimated future cardiovascular risk and theoretical benefit of reaching guideline recommended risk factor targets. PATIENTS AND

methodsThe SMART-REACH (Secondary Manifestations of Arterial Disease-Reduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health) model for 10-year and lifetime risk of cardiovascular events was applied to 465 patients in the Norwegian Cognitive Impairment After Stroke (Nor-COAST) study, a multicenter observational study with two-year follow-up by linkage to national registries for cardiovascular disease and mortality. The residual risk when reaching recommended targets for blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking cessation and antithrombotics was estimated.

resultsIn total, 11.2% had a new event. Calibration plots showed adequate agreement between estimated and observed 2-year prognosis (C-statistics 0.63, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.71). Median estimated 10-year risk of recurrent cardiovascular events was 42% (Interquartile range (IQR) 32-54%) and could be reduced to 32% by optimal guideline-based therapy. The corresponding numbers for lifetime risk were 70% (IQR 63-76%) and 61%. We estimated an overall median gain of 1.4 (IQR 0.2-3.4) event-free life years if guideline targets were met.

conclusionSecondary prevention was suboptimal and residual risk remains elevated even after optimization according to current guidelines. Considerable interindividual variation in risk exists, with a corresponding variation in benefit from intensification of treatment. The SMART-REACH model can be used to identify patients with the largest benefit from more intensive treatment and follow-up.

Indexed as

cardiovascular diseasesischemic strokerisk assessmentrisk factorsrisks and benefitssecondary prevention

Identifiers

PMID34566434
PMCPMC8456548
OpenAlexW3200469092

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.