Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34563855›Full record

ArticleComputers in biology and medicine2021

SIRVD-DL: A COVID-19 deep learning prediction model based on time-dependent SIRVD.

Zhifang Liao, Peng Lan, Xiaoping Fan, Benjamin Kelly, Aidan Innes, Zhining Liao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computers in biology and medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Zhifang LiaoSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, 410075, China. Electronic address: zfliao@csu.edu.cn.
Peng LanSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, 410075, China. Electronic address: lanpeng5@qq.com.
Xiaoping FanHunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, China. Electronic address: xpfan@mail.csu.edu.cn.
Benjamin KellyNuffield health Research Group, Nuffield Health, Ashley Avenue, Epsom, Surrey, KT18 5AL, UK. Electronic address: Benjamin.Kelly@nuffieldhealth.com.
Aidan InnesNuffield health Research Group, Nuffield Health, Ashley Avenue, Epsom, Surrey, KT18 5AL, UK. Electronic address: Aidan.Innes@nuffieldhealth.com.
Zhining LiaoNuffield health Research Group, Nuffield Health, Ashley Avenue, Epsom, Surrey, KT18 5AL, UK. Electronic address: zhining.liao@nuffieldhealth.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 is one of the biggest challenges that human beings have faced recently. Many researchers have proposed different prediction methods for establishing a virus transmission model and predicting the trend of COVID-19. Among them, the methods based on artificial intelligence are currently the most interesting and widely used. However, only using artificial intelligence methods for prediction cannot capture the time change pattern of the transmission of infectious diseases. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a COVID-19 prediction model based on time-dependent SIRVD by using deep learning. This model combines deep learning technology with the mathematical model of infectious diseases, and forecasts the parameters in the mathematical model of infectious diseases by fusing deep learning models such as LSTM and other time prediction methods. In the current situation of mass vaccination, we analyzed COVID-19 data from January 15, 2021, to May 27, 2021 in seven countries - India, Argentina, Brazil, South Korea, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Italy. The experimental results show that the prediction model not only has a 50% improvement in single-day predictions compared to pure deep learning methods, but also can be adapted to short- and medium-term predictions, which makes the overall prediction more interpretable and robust.

Indexed as

COVID-19Deep LearningArtificial IntelligenceHumansNeural Networks, ComputerSARS-CoV-2COVID-19Deep learning LSTMSIRVD ModelVaccination

Identifiers

PMID34563855
PMCPMC8436575

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.