ArticleParasites & vectors2021
Modelling bluetongue risk in Kazakhstan.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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The trial behind it
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Prevalence of Bluetongue and the distribution ofFrontiers in veterinary science · 2025Article
- Epidemiological landscape and genetic prospects for marker-assisted selection in Kazakh sheep.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025Review
- Genetic evidence of regional circulation of Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus in ixodid ticks from southern Kazakhstan.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025Article
- Bluetongue Risk Map for Vaccination and Surveillance Strategies in India.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Relationship between Vaccine Application and Climate Factors in Sheep and Goat Farms in Greece.Vaccines · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundBluetongue is a serious disease of ruminants caused by the bluetongue virus (BTV). BTV is transmitted by biting midges (Culicoides spp.). Serological evidence from livestock and the presence of at least one competent vector species of Culicoides suggests that transmission of BTV is possible and may have occurred in Kazakhstan.
methodsWe estimated the risk of transmission using a mathematical model of the reproduction number R
resultsThe results suggest that transmission of bluetongue in Kazakhstan is not possible in the winter from October to March. Assuming there are vector-competent species of Culicoides endemic in Kazakhstan, then low levels of risk first appear in the south of Kazakhstan in April before spreading north and intensifying, reaching maximum levels in northern Kazakhstan in July. The risk declined in September and had disappeared by October.
conclusionThese results should aid in surveillance efforts for the detection and control of bluetongue in Kazakhstan by indicating where and when outbreaks of bluetongue are most likely to occur. The results also indicate where vaccination efforts should be focussed to prevent outbreaks of disease.
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