Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34562985›Full record

ArticleGeriatrics (Basel, Switzerland)2021

The Importance of Age in the Prediction of Mortality by a Frailty Index: A Machine Learning Approach in the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing.

Sebastian Moguilner, Silvin P Knight, James R C Davis, Aisling M O'Halloran, Rose Anne Kenny, Roman Romero-Ortuno

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Geriatrics (Basel, Switzerland), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sebastian MoguilnerNuclear Medicine School Foundation (FUESMEN), National Commission of Atomic Energy, Mendoza M5500CJI, Argentina.
Silvin P KnightThe Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), Trinity College Dublin, D02 R590 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0003-1245-4870
James R C DavisThe Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), Trinity College Dublin, D02 R590 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0001-6388-2184
Aisling M O'HalloranThe Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), Trinity College Dublin, D02 R590 Dublin, Ireland.
Rose Anne KennyThe Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), Trinity College Dublin, D02 R590 Dublin, Ireland.
Roman Romero-OrtunoThe Global Brain Health Institute (GBHI), Trinity College Dublin, D02 PN40 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0002-3882-7447

Funding

Science Foundation Ireland 18/FRL/6188
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The quantification of biological age in humans is an important scientific endeavor in the face of ageing populations. The frailty index (FI) methodology is based on the accumulation of health deficits and captures variations in health status within individuals of the same age. The aims of this study were to assess whether the addition of age to an FI improves its mortality prediction and whether the associations of the individual FI items differ in strength. We utilized data from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing to conduct, by sex, machine learning analyses of the ability of a 32-item FI to predict 8-year mortality in 8174 wave 1 participants aged 50 or more years. By wave 5, 559 men and 492 women had died. In the absence of age, the FI was an acceptable predictor of mortality with AUCs of 0.7. When age was included, AUCs improved to 0.8 in men and 0.9 in women. After age, deficits related to physical function and self-rated health tended to have higher importance scores. Not all FI variables seemed equally relevant to predict mortality, and age was by far the most relevant feature. Chronological age should remain an important consideration when interpreting the prognostic significance of an FI.

Indexed as

age distributionfrailtylongitudinal studiesmortalitysex differencessupervised machine learning

Identifiers

PMID34562985
PMCPMC8482125

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.