Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34556643›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Collaborative management of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam increases economic benefits and resilience.

Mohammed Basheer, Victor Nechifor, Alvaro Calzadilla, Khalid Siddig, Mikiyas Etichia, Dale Whittington, David Hulme, Julien J Harou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  2. Equity and modeling in sustainability science: Examples and opportunities throughout the process.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Mohammed BasheerDepartment of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9468-2249
Victor NechiforInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8034-4070
Alvaro CalzadillaInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8424-8473
Khalid SiddigInternational Agricultural Trade and Development, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1339-4507
Mikiyas EtichiaDepartment of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Dale WhittingtonGlobal Development Institute, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
David HulmeGlobal Development Institute, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Julien J HarouDepartment of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. julien.harou@manchester.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The landscape of water infrastructure in the Nile Basin is changing with the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Although this dam could improve electricity supply in Ethiopia and its neighbors, there is a lack of consensus between Ethiopia, Sudan, and Egypt on the dam operation. We introduce a new modeling framework that simulates the Nile River System and Egypt's macroeconomy, with dynamic feedbacks between the river system and the macroeconomy. Because the two systems "coevolve" throughout multi-year simulations, we term this a "coevolutionary" modeling framework. The framework is used to demonstrate that a coordinated operating strategy could allow the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam to help meet water demands in Egypt during periods of water scarcity and increase hydropower generation and storage in Ethiopia during high flows. Here we show the hydrological and macroeconomic performance of this coordinated strategy compared to a strategy that resembles a recent draft proposal for the operation of the dam discussed in Washington DC.

Identifiers

PMID34556643
PMCPMC8460785

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.