Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34551959›Full record

ArticleBJGP open2021

Diagnostic accuracy of Fever-PAIN and Centor criteria for bacterial throat infection in adults with sore throat: a secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial.

Anna Seeley, Thomas Fanshawe, Merryn Voysey, Alastair Hay, Michael Moore, Gail Hayward

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJGP open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Complexity, demand, and those little white spots.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Anna SeeleyNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK anna.seeley@worc.ox.ac.uk.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5354-5889
Thomas FanshaweNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Merryn VoyseyOxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Alastair HayCentre of Academic Primary Care, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Michael MoorePrimary Care and Population Sciences Unit, University of Southampton, Aldermoor Health Centre, Aldermoor Close, Southampton, UK.
Gail HaywardNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
University of Oxford · GBPrimary Health Care · QAUniversity of Bristol · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSore throat is a common and self-limiting condition. There remains ambiguity in stratifying patients to immediate, delayed, or no antibiotic prescriptions. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recommends two clinical prediction rules (CPRs), FeverPAIN and Centor, to guide decision making.

aimTo describe the diagnostic accuracy of CPRs in identifying streptococcal throat infections. DESIGN &

settingAdults presenting to UK primary care with sore throat, who did not require immediate antibiotics.

methodAs part of the Treatment Options without Antibiotics for Sore Throat (TOAST) trial, 565 participants, aged ≥18 years, were recruited on day of presentation to general practice. Physicians could opt to give delayed prescriptions. CPR scores were not part of the trial protocol but were calculated post hoc from baseline assessments. Diagnostic accuracy was calculated by comparing scores with throat swab cultures.

resultsIt was found that 81/502 (16.1%) patients had group A, C, or G streptococcus cultured on throat swab. Overall diagnostic accuracy of both CPRs was poor: area under receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve 0.62 for Centor; and 0.59 for FeverPAIN. Post-test probability of a positive or negative test was 27.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 6.0% to 61.0%) and 84.1% (95% CI = 80.6% to 87.2%) for FeverPAIN ≥4; versus 25.7% (95% CI = 16.2% to 37.2%) and 85.5% (95% CI = 81.8% to 88.7%) for Centor ≥3. Higher CPR scores were associated with increased delayed antibiotic prescriptions (χ

conclusionIn those who do not require immediate antibiotics in primary care, neither CPR provides a reliable way of diagnosing streptococcal throat infection. However, clinicians were more likely to give delayed prescriptions to those with higher scores.

Indexed as

decision makingdiagnosisgeneral practiceminor illnesspharyngitisprimary healthcarerespiratory illness

Identifiers

PMID34551959
PMCPMC9447300
OpenAlexW3189760731

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.