Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34547696›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of emergency medicine2021

Prediction of mortality in COVID-19 through combing CT severity score with NEWS, qSOFA, or peripheral perfusion index.

Gökhan Akdur, Murat Daş, Okan Bardakci, Canan Akman, Duygu Sıddıkoğlu, Okhan Akdur, Alper Akçalı, Mesut Erbaş, Mustafa Reşorlu, Yavuz Beyazit

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of emergency medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Shock index and early warning score in liver cancer rupture shock.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on cancer patients' health and healthcare: findings from a cross-sectional survey on more than 3000 patients.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Gökhan AkdurDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Murat DaşDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Okan BardakciDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey. Electronic address: drokanbardakci@gmail.com.
Canan AkmanDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Duygu SıddıkoğluDepartment of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Okhan AkdurDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Alper AkçalıDepartment of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Mesut ErbaşDepartment of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Mustafa ReşorluDepartment of Radiology, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Yavuz BeyazitDepartment of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 17020 Çanakkale, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe assessment of disease severity and the prediction of clinical outcomes at early disease stages can contribute to decreased mortality in patients with Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study was conducted to develop and validate a multivariable risk prediction model for mortality with using a combination of computed tomography severity score (CT-SS), national early warning score (NEWS), and quick sequential (sepsis-related) organ failure assessment (qSOFA) in COVID-19 patients.

methodsWe retrospectively collected medical data from 655 adult COVID-19 patients admitted to our hospital between July and November 2020. Data on demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory and radiological findings measured as part of standard care at admission were used to calculate NEWS, qSOFA score, CT-SS, peripheral perfusion index (PPI) and shock index (SI). Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict mortality, which was our primary outcome. The predictive accuracy of distinct scoring systems was evaluated by the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

resultsThe median age was 50.0 years [333 males (50.8%), 322 females (49.2%)]. Higher NEWS and SI was associated with time-to-death within 90-days, whereas higher age, CT-SS and lower PPI were significantly associated with time-to-death within both 14 days and 90 days in the adjusted Cox regression model. The CT-SS predicted different mortality risk levels within each stratum of NEWS and qSOFA and improved the discrimination of mortality prediction models. Combining CT-SS with NEWS score yielded more accurate 14 days (DBA: -0.048, p = 0.002) and 90 days (DBA: -0.066, p < 0.001) mortality prediction.

conclusionCombining severity tools such as CT-SS, NEWS and qSOFA improves the accuracy of predicting mortality in patients with COVID-19. Inclusion of these tools in decision strategies might provide early detection of high-risk groups, avoid delayed medical attention, and improve patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Organ Dysfunction ScoresPerfusion IndexSeverity of Illness IndexTomography, X-Ray ComputedAdultCOVID-19Emergency Service, HospitalFemaleHemodynamicsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveComputed tomographyCOVID-19Emergency medicineMortality

Identifiers

PMID34547696
PMCPMC8411577

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.