Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34541372›Full record

ArticleJournal of computational social science2022

Early warning signals from the periphery: A model suggestion for the study of critical transitions.

Manfred Füllsack, Daniel Reisinger, Marie Kapeller, Georg Jäger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of computational social science, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Manfred FüllsackInstitute of Systems Sciences, Innovation and Sustainability Research at the University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-7772-4061
Daniel ReisingerInstitute of Systems Sciences, Innovation and Sustainability Research at the University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Marie KapellerInstitute of Systems Sciences, Innovation and Sustainability Research at the University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Georg JägerInstitute of Systems Sciences, Innovation and Sustainability Research at the University of Graz, Graz, Austria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Studies on the possibility of predicting critical transitions with statistical methods known as early warning signals (EWS) are often conducted on data generated with equation-based models (EBMs). These models base on difference or differential equations, which aggregate a system's components in a mathematical term and therefore do not allow for a detailed analysis of interactions on micro-level. As an alternative, we suggest a simple, but highly flexible agent-based model (ABM), which, when applying EWS-analysis, gives reason to (a) consider social interaction, in particular negative feedback effects, as an essential trigger of critical transitions, and (b) to differentiate social interactions, for example in network representations, into a core and a periphery of agents and focus attention on the periphery. Results are tested against time series from a networked version of the Ising-model, which is often used as example for generating hysteretic critical transitions.

Indexed as

Agent-based modelingCritical transitionsEarly warning signalsEquation-based modelingHysteresisSocial interaction

Identifiers

PMID34541372
PMCPMC8442823

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.