ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2021
Land-use change and rodent-borne diseases: hazards on the shared socioeconomic pathways.
Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Assessing the Environmental Drivers of Lassa Fever in West Africa: A Systematic Review.Viruses · 2025Pooled it
- Land-cover, land-use and human hantavirus infection risk: a systematic review.Pathogens and global health · 2024Pooled it
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of leptospirosis in Europe: a retrospective observational study with prospective projections.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
- Regional heterogeneity of spatial-temporal characteristics and meteorological-environmental driving factors of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Virome diversity and zoonotic risks of rodents along ecological gradients in the Northern Tianshan Mountains, China.Microbiome · 2026Article
- From reservoirs to ecological integrators: the role of EuropeanFrontiers in veterinary science · 2026Review
- Preliminary molecular detection and characterization ofOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Article
- Microbiomes of frozen blood plasma samples reveal potential pathogens in wild birds and rodents.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Article
- Climate Change Impact on Human-Rodent Interfaces: Modeling Junin Virus Reservoir Shifts.EcoHealth · 2025Article
- Review
- Host-Pathogen-Vector Continuum in a Changing Landscape: Potential Transmission Pathways forEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Anthropization and host habitat influence the abundance of Dermanyssoidea and Trombiculoidea in northwestern Mexico.Experimental & applied acarology · 2025Article
- Pathogens and planetary change.Nature reviews. Biodiversity · 2025Article
- Zoonosis: social and environmental connections in the Mexico-United States border region.One health outlook · 2025Article
- Protocol to produce a systematic Arenavirus and Hantavirus host-pathogen database: Project ArHa.Wellcome open research · 2025Article
- Effects of Body Condition and Ectoparasitism on Host-Pathogen Interactions of Heteromyid Rodents.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Viral diversity in wild and urban rodents of Yunnan Province, China.Emerging microbes & infections · 2024Article
- Knowledge, risk perceptions and practices regarding rodents and their associated pathogens: environmental consultants in Chile.One health outlook · 2024Article
- Prevalence and genetic diversity of rodent-associatedHeliyon · 2024Article
- A review of emerging health threats from zoonotic New World mammarenaviruses.BMC microbiology · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Land-use change has a direct impact on species survival and reproduction, altering their spatio-temporal distributions. It acts as a selective force that favours the abundance and diversity of reservoir hosts and affects host-pathogen dynamics and prevalence. This has led to land-use change being a significant driver of infectious diseases emergence. Here, we predict the presence of rodent taxa and map the zoonotic hazard (potential sources of harm) from rodent-borne diseases in the short and long term (2025 and 2050). The study considers three different land-use scenarios based on the shared socioeconomic pathways narratives (SSPs): sustainable (SSP1-Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6), fossil-fuelled development (SSP5-RCP 8.5) and deepening inequality (SSP4-RCP 6.0). We found that cropland expansion into forest and pasture may increase zoonotic hazards in areas with high rodent-species diversity. Nevertheless, a future sustainable scenario may not always reduce hazards. All scenarios presented high heterogeneity in zoonotic hazard, with high-income countries having the lowest hazard range. The SSPs narratives suggest that opening borders and reducing cropland expansion are critical to mitigate current and future zoonotic hazards globally, particularly in middle- and low-income economies. Our study advances previous efforts to anticipate the emergence of zoonotic diseases by integrating past, present and future information to guide surveillance and mitigation of zoonotic hazards at the regional and local scale. This article is part of the theme issue 'Infectious disease macroecology: parasite diversity and dynamics across the globe'.
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