Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34538140›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2021

The future of zoonotic risk prediction.

Colin J Carlson, Maxwell J Farrell, Zoe Grange, Barbara A Han, Nardus Mollentze, Alexandra L Phelan, Angela L Rasmussen, Gregory F Albery, Bernard Bett, David M Brett-Major and 23 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors.

Colin J CarlsonCenter for Global Health Science and Security, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC 20007, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6960-8434
Maxwell J FarrellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0452-6993
Zoe GrangePublic Health Scotland, Glasgow G2 6QE, UK.
Barbara A HanCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY 12545, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9948-3078
Nardus MollentzeMedical Research Council, University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK.
Alexandra L PhelanCenter for Global Health Science and Security, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Angela L RasmussenCenter for Global Health Science and Security, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Gregory F AlberyDepartment of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Bernard BettAnimal and Human Health Program, International Livestock Research Institute, PO Box 30709-00100, Nairobi, Kenya.
David M Brett-MajorDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7583-8495
Lily E CohenIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Tad DallasDepartment of Biological Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70806, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3328-9958
Evan A EskewDepartment of Biology, Pacific Lutheran University, Tacoma, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1153-5356
Anna C FagreDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Pathology, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0969-5078
Kristian M ForbesDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR 72701, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2112-2707
Rory GibbCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0965-1649
Sam HalabiO'Neill Institute for National and Global Health Law, Georgetown University Law Center, Washington, DC 20001, USA.
Charlotte C HammerCentre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8288-0288
Rebecca KatzCenter for Global Health Science and Security, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Jason KindrachukDepartment of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada R3E 0J9.
Renata L MuylaertMolecular Epidemiology and Public Health Laboratory, Hopkirk Research Institute, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
Felicia B NutterDepartment of Infectious Disease and Global Health, Cummings School of Veterinary Medicine, Tufts University, North Grafton, MA 01536, USA.
Joseph OgolaUniversity of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
Kevin J OlivalEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY 10018, USA.
Michelle RourkeLaw Futures Centre, Griffith Law School, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland 4111, Australia.
Sadie J RyanDepartment of Geography and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4308-6321
Noam RossEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY 10018, USA.
Stephanie N SeifertPaul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
Tarja SironenDepartment of Virology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Claire J StandleyCenter for Global Health Science and Security, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Kishana TaylorDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
Marietjie VenterZoonotic Arbo and Respiratory Virus Program, Centre for Viral Zoonoses, Department of Medical Virology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.
Paul W WebalaDepartment of Forestry and Wildlife Management, Maasai Mara University, Narok 20500, Kenya.

Funding

Understanding Risk of Zoonotic Virus Emergence in EID Hotspots of Southeast AsiaU01AI151797 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2020 to 2023
$6.0M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI151797Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 217221/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the light of the urgency raised by the COVID-19 pandemic, global investment in wildlife virology is likely to increase, and new surveillance programmes will identify hundreds of novel viruses that might someday pose a threat to humans. To support the extensive task of laboratory characterization, scientists may increasingly rely on data-driven rubrics or machine learning models that learn from known zoonoses to identify which animal pathogens could someday pose a threat to global health. We synthesize the findings of an interdisciplinary workshop on zoonotic risk technologies to answer the following questions. What are the prerequisites, in terms of open data, equity and interdisciplinary collaboration, to the development and application of those tools? What effect could the technology have on global health? Who would control that technology, who would have access to it and who would benefit from it? Would it improve pandemic prevention? Could it create new challenges? This article is part of the theme issue 'Infectious disease macroecology: parasite diversity and dynamics across the globe'.

Indexed as

Global HealthAnimalsAnimals, WildCOVID-19Disease ReservoirsEcologyHumansLaboratoriesMachine LearningPandemicsRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2VirusesZoonosesaccess and benefit sharingepidemic riskglobal healthmachine learningviral ecologyzoonotic risk

Identifiers

PMID34538140
PMCPMC8450624

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.