Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34536382›Full record

ArticleCell systems2022

Statistically derived geometrical landscapes capture principles of decision-making dynamics during cell fate transitions.

Meritxell Sáez, Robert Blassberg, Elena Camacho-Aguilar, Eric D Siggia, David A Rand, James Briscoe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cell systems, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 64 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  13. Signals and the shape of developmental landscapes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Generative epigenetic landscapes map the topology and topography of cell fates.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  17. Reconstructing Waddington's landscape from data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Searching for physical principles of morphogenesis.Development (Cambridge, England) · 2025
    Review
  20. A thermodynamic perspective on mammalian neural crest ingression.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article

4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Meritxell SáezMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; The Francis Crick Institute, 1 Midland Road, London NW1 1AT, UK; Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
Robert BlassbergThe Francis Crick Institute, 1 Midland Road, London NW1 1AT, UK.
Elena Camacho-AguilarMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; Department of Biosciences, Rice University, Houston, TX 77005, USA.
Eric D SiggiaCenter for Studies of Physics and Biology, the Rockefeller University, 1230 York Avenue, New York, NY 10065, USA.
David A RandMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK. Electronic address: d.a.rand@warwick.ac.uk.
James BriscoeThe Francis Crick Institute, 1 Midland Road, London NW1 1AT, UK. Electronic address: james.briscoe@crick.ac.uk.

Funding

KITP Interdisciplinary Biology InitiativeR25GM067110 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA · PI SHRAIMAN, BORIS I · 2003 to 2018
$1.8M
Medical Research Council FC001051NIGMS NIH HHS R25 GM067110Wellcome Trust FC001051
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fate decisions in developing tissues involve cells transitioning between discrete cell states, each defined by distinct gene expression profiles. The Waddington landscape, in which the development of a cell is viewed as a ball rolling through a valley filled terrain, is an appealing way to describe differentiation. To construct and validate accurate landscapes, quantitative methods based on experimental data are necessary. We combined principled statistical methods with a framework based on catastrophe theory and approximate Bayesian computation to formulate a quantitative dynamical landscape that accurately predicts cell fate outcomes of pluripotent stem cells exposed to different combinations of signaling factors. Analysis of the landscape revealed two distinct ways in which cells make a binary choice between one of two fates. We suggest that these represent archetypal designs for developmental decisions. The approach is broadly applicable for the quantitative analysis of differentiation and for determining the logic of developmental decisions.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremCell Differentiationcatastrophe theorycell fate decisionsdynamical systemsgeometric modelspluripotent stem cell differentiationWaddington landscape

Identifiers

PMID34536382
PMCPMC8785827

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.