Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34535083›Full record

ArticleBMC immunology2021

Analysis of multivariate longitudinal immuno-epidemiological data using a pairwise joint modelling approach.

Lawrence Lubyayi, Patrice A Mawa, Stephen Cose, Alison M Elliott, Jonathan Levin, Emily L Webb

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC immunology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Lawrence LubyayiDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. lawrence.lubyayi@mrcuganda.org.ORCID 0000-0001-5286-6488
Patrice A MawaImmunomodulation and Vaccines Programme, Medical Research Council/Uganda Virus Research Institute and London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Uganda Research Unit, Plot 51-59 Nakiwogo Road, P.O. Box 49, Entebbe, Uganda.
Stephen CoseImmunomodulation and Vaccines Programme, Medical Research Council/Uganda Virus Research Institute and London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Uganda Research Unit, Plot 51-59 Nakiwogo Road, P.O. Box 49, Entebbe, Uganda.
Alison M ElliottImmunomodulation and Vaccines Programme, Medical Research Council/Uganda Virus Research Institute and London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Uganda Research Unit, Plot 51-59 Nakiwogo Road, P.O. Box 49, Entebbe, Uganda.
Jonathan LevinDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Emily L WebbMRC International Statistics and Epidemiology Group, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_00027/5Medical Research Council MR/K019708/1Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1UK Medical Research Council MR/K012126/1UK Medical Research Council MR/K019708Wellcome Trust 107743Wellcome Trust 107754
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImmuno-epidemiologists are often faced with multivariate outcomes, measured repeatedly over time. Such data are characterised by complex inter- and intra-outcome relationships which must be accounted for during analysis. Scientific questions of interest might include determining the effect of a treatment on the evolution of all outcomes together, or grouping outcomes that change in the same way. Modelling the different outcomes separately may not be appropriate because it ignores the underlying relationships between outcomes. In such situations, a joint modelling strategy is necessary. This paper describes a pairwise joint modelling approach and discusses its benefits over more simple statistical analysis approaches, with application to data from a study of the response to BCG vaccination in the first year of life, conducted in Entebbe, Uganda.

methodsThe study aimed to determine the effect of maternal latent Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection (LTBI) on infant immune response (TNF, IFN-γ, IL-13, IL-10, IL-5, IL-17A and IL-2 responses to PPD), following immunisation with BCG. A simple analysis ignoring the correlation structure of multivariate longitudinal data is first shown. Univariate linear mixed models are then used to describe longitudinal profiles of each outcome, and are then combined into a multivariate mixed model, specifying a joint distribution for the random effects to account for correlations between the multiple outcomes. A pairwise joint modelling approach, where all possible pairs of bivariate mixed models are fitted, is then used to obtain parameter estimates.

resultsUnivariate and pairwise longitudinal analysis approaches are consistent in finding that LTBI had no impact on the evolution of cytokine responses to PPD. Estimates from the pairwise joint modelling approach were more precise. Major advantages of the pairwise approach include the opportunity to test for the effect of LTBI on the joint evolution of all, or groups of, outcomes and the ability to estimate association structures of the outcomes.

conclusionsThe pairwise joint modelling approach reduces the complexity of analysis of high-dimensional multivariate repeated measures, allows for proper accounting for association structures and can improve our understanding and interpretation of longitudinal immuno-epidemiological data.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationCytokinesFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLatent TuberculosisMaleMaternal ExposureModels, TheoreticalMultivariate AnalysisMycobacterium bovisMycobacterium tuberculosisPregnancyPrenatal Exposure Delayed EffectsUgandaCytokinesBCG vaccineCytokine responsesLatent Mycobacterium tuberculosis infectionLinear mixed modelPairwise joint modelling

Identifiers

PMID34535083
PMCPMC8449434

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.