Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34528012›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2021

Direct and indirect effects of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on pneumococcal carriage in children hospitalised with pneumonia from formal and informal settlements in Mongolia: an observational study.

Jocelyn Chan, Tuya Mungun, Purevsuren Batsaixan, Mukhchuluun Ulziibayar, Bujinlkham Suuri, Dashpagam Otgonbayar, Dashtseren Luvsantseren, Cattram D Nguyen, Dorj Narangarel, Eileen M Dunne and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Microbiology spectrum · 2024
    Article
  9. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Jocelyn ChanInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Tuya MungunInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Purevsuren BatsaixanInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Mukhchuluun UlziibayarInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Bujinlkham SuuriInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Dashpagam OtgonbayarNational Centre for Communicable Diseases (NCCD), Ministry of Health, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Dashtseren LuvsantserenInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Cattram D NguyenInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Dorj NarangarelNational Centre for Communicable Diseases (NCCD), Ministry of Health, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Eileen M DunneInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Kimberley FoxRegional Office for the Western Pacific, World Health Organization, Manila, Philippines.
Jason HindsInstitute for Infection and Immunity, St George's University of London, London, United Kingdom.
Monica L NationInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Casey L PellInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
E Kim MulhollandInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Catherine SatzkeInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Claire von MollendorfInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
Fiona M RussellInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI), Melbourne, Australia.
PneuCAPTIVE Mongolia Research Group

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWithin Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, risk factors for pneumonia are concentrated among children living in informal settlements comprised of temporary shelters (gers). We used pneumococcal carriage surveillance among children from formal and informal settlements hospitalised with pneumonia to evaluate the direct and indirect effects of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) against vaccine-type (VT) pneumococcal carriage following a phased introduction of PCV13.

methodsWe enrolled and collected nasopharyngeal swabs from children 2-59 months of age presenting to hospital. Pneumococci were detected using lytA qPCR and serotyped using microarray on a random monthly selection of swabs between November 2015 and March 2019 from two districts in Ulaanbaatar. PCV13 status was determined using written records. We quantified the associations between individual PCV13 status (direct effects) and district-level PCV13 coverage (indirect effects) and VT carriage using generalised estimating equations and explored interactions by settlement type.

findingsA total of 1 292 swabs from 6 046 participants were tested for pneumococci. Receipt of PCV13 and increasing PCV13 coverage independently reduced the risk of VT carriage. For each percent increase in PCV13 coverage, the adjusted odds of VT carriage decreased by 1•0% (OR 95% CI 0•983-0•996; p=0•001), with a predicted decrease in VT carriage rate from 29•1% to 13•1% as coverage reached 100%. There was a trend towards a slower decline within informal settlements (p=0•100). Adjusted PCV13 vaccine effectiveness against VT carriage was 39•1% (95% CI 11•4-58•1%, p=0•009).

interpretationSubstantial indirect effects were observed following PCV13 introduction, including among children living within informal settlements.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.

Indexed as

herd immunityindirect effectsinformal settlementsMongoliapneumococcal carriagePneumococcal conjugate vaccinesvaccine coverage

Identifiers

PMID34528012
PMCPMC8342962

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.