Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34528011›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2021

Trends in, projections of, and inequalities in reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health service coverage in Vietnam 2000-2030: A Bayesian analysis at national and sub-national levels.

Phuong T Nguyen, Md Shafiur Rahman, Phuong Mai Le, Huy Van Nguyen, Kien Duy Vu, Hoa L Nguyen, An Thi Minh Dao, Long Quynh Khuong, Minh Van Hoang, Stuart Gilmour

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Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

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26citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

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  5. Trend analysis and modelling of universal health coverage, Ethiopia.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026
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  14. Cancer Prevalence Projections in Japan and Decomposition Analysis of Changes in Cancer Burden, 2020-2050: A Statistical Modeling Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023
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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Phuong T NguyenGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Md Shafiur RahmanResearch Center for Child Mental Development, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine, Hamamatsu, Japan.
Phuong Mai LeGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Huy Van NguyenGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Kien Duy VuOnCare Medical Technology Company Limited, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Hoa L NguyenDepartment of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Massachusetts, USA.
An Thi Minh DaoDepartment of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Massachusetts, USA.
Long Quynh KhuongHanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Minh Van HoangHanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Stuart GilmourGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo assess the reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health (RMNCH) service coverage in Vietnam with trends in 2000-2014, projections and probability of achieving targets in 2030 at national and sub-national levels; and to analyze the socioeconomic, regional and urban-rural inequalities in RMNCH service indicators.

methodsWe used national population-based datasets of 44,624 households in Vietnam from 2000 to 2014. We applied Bayesian regression models to estimate the trends in and projections of RMNCH indicators and the probabilities of achieving the 2030 targets. Using the relative index, slope index, and concentration index of inequality, we examined the patterns and trends in RMNCH coverage inequality.

findingsWe projected that 9 out of 17 health service indicators (53%) would likely achieve the 2030 targets at the national level, including at least one and four ANC visits, BCG immunization, access to improved water and adequate sanitation, institutional delivery, skilled birth attendance, care-seeking for pneumonia, and ARI treatment. We observed very low coverages and zero chance of achieving the 2030 targets at national and sub-national levels in early initiation and exclusive breastfeeding, family planning needs satisfied, and oral rehydration therapy. The most deprived households living in rural areas and the Northwest, Northeast, North Central, Central Highlands, and Mekong River Delta regions would not reach the 80% immunization coverage of DPT3, Polio3, Measles and full immunization. We found socioeconomic, regional, and urban-rural inequalities in all RMNCH indicators in 2014 and no change in inequalities over 15 years in the lowest-coverage indicators.

interpretationVietnam has made substantial progress toward UHC. By improving the government's health system reform efforts, re-allocating resources focusing on people in the most impoverished rural regions, and restructuring and enhancing current health programs, Vietnam can achieve the UHC targets and other health-related SDGs.

fundingThe authors did not receive any funds for conducting this study.

Indexed as

2030 targetsprogressprojectionRMNCHtrendUniversal Health CoverageVietnam

Identifiers

PMID34528011
PMCPMC8342952

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