ArticleAccident; analysis and prevention2021
Analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on collisions, fatalities and injuries using time series forecasting: The case of Greece.
Article in Accident; analysis and prevention, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Forecasting Road Traffic Injuries in North-Eastern Iran: The Effects of COVID-19 and Time Series Analysis (2009-2023).Open access emergency medicine : OAEM · 2026Article
- Driving under viral impairment: Linking acute SARS-CoV-2 infections to elevated car crash risks.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Changes in hospital admissions for facial fractures during and after COVID 19 pandemic: national multicentric epidemiological analysis on 2938 patients.Oral and maxillofacial surgery · 2024Article
- The Influence of COVID-19 on Patient Mobilization and Injury Attributes in the ICU: A Retrospective Analysis of a Level II Trauma Center.Trauma care (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on road traffic injuries in Iran: An interrupted time-series analysis.PloS one · 2024Article
- Changes in trauma-related emergency medical services during the COVID-19 lockdown in the Western Cape, South Africa.BMC emergency medicine · 2023Article
- The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on construction safety in China and the U.S.: A comparative study.Safety science · 2023Article
- Impact of COVID-19 on traffic safety from the "Lockdown" to the "New Normal": A case study of Utah.Accident; analysis and prevention · 2023Article
- One year of COVID-19: Impacts on safe driving behavior and policy recommendations.Journal of safety research · 2023Article
- Road crash risk prediction during COVID-19 for flash crowd traffic prevention: The case of Los Angeles.Computer communications · 2023Article
- Impact of Post-Covid-19 on driver behaviour: A perspective towards pandemic-sustained transportation.Journal of transport & health · 2023Review
- The PBC Model: Supporting Positive Behaviours in Smart Environments.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- A Descriptive Analysis on the Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Road Traffic Incidents in Sydney, Australia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- What's new in critical illness and injury science? Driving characteristics and rates of road traffic accidents and associated serious injuries and fatalities during the COVID-19 pandemic.International journal of critical illness and injury scienceArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The current study aims to investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on road traffic collisions, fatalities, and injuries using time series analyses. To that aim, a database containing road collisions, fatalities, and slight injuries data from Greece were derived from the Hellenic Statistical Authority (HSA) and covered a ten-year timeframe (from January 2010 to August 2020. The chosen time period contained normal operations, as well as the period of the first COVID-19-induced lockdown period in Greece. Three different Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) time series models were implemented in order to compare the observed measurements to forecasted values that were intended to depict assumed conditions; namely, without the appearance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Modelling results revealed that the total number of road collisions, fatalities, and slightly injured were decreased, mainly due to the sharp traffic volume decrease. However, the percentage reduction of the collision variables and traffic volume were found to be disproportionate, which probably indicates that more collisions occurred with regard to the prevailing traffic volume. An additional finding is that fatalities and slightly injured rates were significantly increased during the lockdown period and the subsequent month. Overall, it can be concluded that a worse performance was identified in terms of road safety. Since subsequent waves of COVID-19 cases and other pandemics may reappear in the future, the outcomes of the current study may be exploited for the improvement of road safety from local authorities and policymakers.
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