Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34519135›Full record

Observational studyEuropean journal of neurology2022

Predicting atrial fibrillation after cryptogenic stroke via a clinical risk score-a prospective observational study.

Markus Kneihsl, Egbert Bisping, Daniel Scherr, Harald Mangge, Simon Fandler-Höfler, Isabella Colonna, Melanie Haidegger, Sebastian Eppinger, Edith Hofer, Franz Fazekas and 2 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in European journal of neurology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Atrial fibrillation detection after embolic stroke of undetermined source: Development and validation of the CATCH-AF score.International journal of stroke : official journal of the International Stroke Society · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Markus KneihslDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-6334-9432
Egbert BispingDivision of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Daniel ScherrDivision of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Harald ManggeClinical Institute of Medical and Chemical Laboratory Diagnostics, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Simon Fandler-HöflerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-9043-0378
Isabella ColonnaDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Melanie HaideggerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Sebastian EppingerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Edith HoferDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Franz FazekasDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Christian EnzingerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Thomas GattringerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-6065-6576
Medical University of Graz · AT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeAtrial fibrillation (AF) often remains undiagnosed in cryptogenic stroke (CS), mostly because of limited availability of cardiac long-term rhythm monitoring. There is an unmet need for a pre-selection of CS patients benefitting from such work-up. A clinical risk score was therefore developed for the prediction of AF after CS and its performance was evaluated over 1 year of follow-up.

methodsOur proposed risk score ranges from 0 to 16 points and comprises variables known to be associated with occult AF in CS patients including age, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic features (supraventricular premature beats, atrial runs, atrial enlargement, left ventricular ejection fraction) and brain imaging markers (multi-territory/prior cortical infarction). All CS patients admitted to our Stroke Unit between March 2018 and August 2019 were prospectively followed for AF detection over 1 year after discharge.

resultsDuring the 1-year follow-up, 24 (16%) out of 150 CS patients with AF (detected via electrocardiogram controls, n = 18; loop recorder monitoring, n = 6) were diagnosed. Our predefined AF Risk Score (cutoff ≥4 points; highest Youden's index) had a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 67% for 1-year prediction of AF. Notably, only two CS patients with <4 score points were diagnosed with AF later on (negative predictive value 98%).

conclusionsA clinical risk score for 1-year prediction of AF in CS with high sensitivity, reasonable specificity and excellent negative predictive value is presented. Generalizability of our score needs to be tested in external cohorts with continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationIschemic StrokeStrokeHumansRisk FactorsStroke VolumeVentricular Function, Leftatrial fibrillationbiomarkercryptogenic strokeNT-proBNPrisk score

Identifiers

PMID34519135
PMCPMC9292187
OpenAlexW3200364211

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.