Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34516875›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

Accelerated forest fragmentation leads to critical increase in tropical forest edge area.

Rico Fischer, Franziska Taubert, Michael S Müller, Jürgen Groeneveld, Sebastian Lehmann, Thorsten Wiegand, Andreas Huth

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Extra Climate Benefits From Afforestation Due to Reduced Forest Fragmentation in China.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
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  18. Ecology and life history predict avian nest success in the global tropics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  19. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Rico FischerHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0482-0095
Franziska TaubertHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7594-8152
Michael S MüllerHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2983-2324
Jürgen GroeneveldHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2338-4636
Sebastian LehmannHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.
Thorsten WiegandHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3721-2248
Andreas HuthHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstrasse 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Large areas of tropical forests have been lost through deforestation, resulting in fragmented forest landscapes. However, the dynamics of forest fragmentation are still unknown, especially the critical forest edge areas, which are sources of carbon emissions due to increased tree mortality. We analyzed the changes in forest fragmentation for the entire tropics using high-resolution forest cover maps. We found that forest edge area increased from 27 to 31% of the total forest area in just 10 years, with the largest increase in Africa. The number of forest fragments increased by 20 million with consequences for connectivity of tropical landscapes. Simulations suggest that ongoing deforestation will further accelerate forest fragmentation. By 2100, 50% of tropical forest area will be at the forest edge, causing additional carbon emissions of up to 500 million MT carbon per year. Thus, efforts to limit fragmentation in the world’s tropical forests are important for climate change mitigation.

Identifiers

PMID34516875
PMCPMC8442897

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.