Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34515351›Full record

ArticleSuicide & life-threatening behavior2021

Comparing the predictive value of screening to the use of electronic health record data for detecting future suicidal thoughts and behavior in an urban pediatric emergency department: A preliminary analysis.

Emily E Haroz, Christopher Kitchen, Paul S Nestadt, Holly C Wilcox, Jordan E DeVylder, Hadi Kharrazi

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Suicide & life-threatening behavior, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Using transfer learning to improve prediction of suicide risk in acute care hospitals.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Emily E HarozDepartment of International Health, Center for American Indian Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1833-4925
Christopher KitchenDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Center for Population Health IT, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Paul S NestadtDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Holly C WilcoxDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Jordan E DeVylderGraduate School of Social Service, Fordham University, New York, New York, USA.
Hadi KharraziDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Center for Population Health IT, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USFordham University · US

Funding

Advancing Maryland's Statewide Suicide Data Warehouse to Improve Individual and Population-level Mortality Prediction and PreventionR01MH124724 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI KHARRAZI, HADI · 2020 to 2023
$3.2M
The Hopkins Population CenterP2CHD042854 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Alison Gemmill · 2021 to 2026
$3.0M
SuSt-AInS: Sustainment of suicide prevention programs in American Indian SettingsK01MH116335 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI HAROZ, EMILY · 2018 to 2022
$733k
Addressing Suicide Research Gaps: Understanding Mortality Outcomes in the Mid-Atlantic RegionR56MH117560 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI KHARRAZI, HADI, WILCOX, HOLLY C · 2018 to 2018
$491k
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042854NIMH NIH HHS K01 MH116335NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH124724NIMH NIH HHS R01MH124724NIMH NIH HHS R56 MH117560NIMH NIH HHS R56MH117560
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimBrief screening and predictive modeling have garnered attention for utility at identifying individuals at risk of suicide. Although previous research has investigated these methods, little is known about how these methods compare against each other or work in combination in the pediatric population.

methodsPatients were aged 8-18 years old who presented from January 1, 2017, to June 30, 2019, to a Pediatric Emergency Department (PED). All patients were screened with the Ask Suicide Questionnaire (ASQ) as part of a universal screening approach. For all models, we used 5-fold cross-validation. We compared four models: Model 1 only included the ASQ; Model 2 included the ASQ and EHR data gathered at the time of ED visit (EHR data); Model 3 only included EHR data; and Model 4 included EHR data and a single item from the ASQ that asked about a lifetime history of suicide attempt. The main outcome was subsequent PED visit with suicide-related presenting problem within a 3-month follow-up period.

resultsOf the N = 13,420 individuals, n = 141 had a subsequent suicide-related PED visit. Approximately 63% identified as Black. Results showed that a model based only on EHR data (Model 3) had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.775 compared to the ASQ alone (Model 1), which had an AUC of 0.754. Combining screening and EHR data (Model 4) resulted in a 17.4% (absolute difference = 3.6%) improvement in sensitivity and 13.4% increase in AUC (absolute difference = 6.6%) compared to screening alone (Model 1).

conclusionOur findings show that predictive modeling based on EHR data is helpful either in the absence or as an addition to brief suicide screening. This is the first study to compare brief suicide screening to EHR-based predictive modeling and adds to our understanding of how best to identify youth at risk of suicidal thoughts and behaviors in clinical care settings.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsSuicidal IdeationAdolescentChildEmergency Service, HospitalHumansMass ScreeningSuicide, Attemptedmachine learningsuicide preventionsuicide screening

Identifiers

PMID34515351
PMCPMC8961462
OpenAlexW3200779970

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.