Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34514837›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2021

Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for 1-Year Readmission Among Young Adults Hospitalized for Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Rachel P Dreyer, Valeria Raparelli, Sui W Tsang, Gail D'Onofrio, Nancy Lorenze, Catherine F Xie, Mary Geda, Louise Pilote, Terrence E Murphy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rachel P DreyerCenter for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale - New Haven Hospital New Haven CT.ORCID 0000-0003-2861-1383
Valeria RaparelliDepartment of Translational Medicine University of Ferrara Ferrara Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-2100-5682
Sui W TsangDepartment of Internal Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.
Gail D'OnofrioDepartment of Emergency Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.
Nancy LorenzeProgram on Aging Department of Internal Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.
Catherine F XieDepartment of Internal Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.ORCID 0000-0001-7638-4053
Mary GedaProgram on Aging Department of Internal Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.
Louise PiloteCentre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation McGill University Health Centre Research Institute Montreal Quebec Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-6159-0628
Terrence E MurphyProgram on Aging Department of Internal Medicine Yale School of Medicine New Haven CT.ORCID 0000-0002-9649-517X

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Study Support Suite (YES3): Dashboard and Web Portal Software Supporting Research Workflow through integrated, customizable REDCap External ModulesP30AG021342 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Denise Esserman · 2002 to 2026
$37.9M
Young Women With Acute Myocardial InfarctionR01HL081153 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KRUMHOLZ, HARLAN MARC · 2007 to 2012
$10.6M
CIHR PJT‐159508NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL081153NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021342
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Readmission over the first year following hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is common among younger adults (≤55 years). Our aim was to develop/validate a risk prediction model that considered a broad range of factors for readmission within 1 year. Methods and Results We used data from the VIRGO (Variation in Recovery: Role of Gender on Outcomes of Young AMI Patients) study, which enrolled young adults aged 18 to 55 years hospitalized with AMI across 103 US hospitals (N=2979). The primary outcome was ≥1 all-cause readmissions within 1 year of hospital discharge. Bayesian model averaging was used to select the risk model. The mean age of participants was 47.1 years, 67.4% were women, and 23.2% were Black. Within 1 year of discharge for AMI, 905 (30.4%) of participants were readmitted and were more likely to be female, Black, and nonmarried. The final risk model consisted of 10 predictors: depressive symptoms (odds ratio [OR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05), better physical health (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.99), in-hospital complication of heart failure (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 0.99-2.08), chronic obstructive pulmomary disease (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.96-1.74), diabetes mellitus (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.00-1.52), female sex (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.05-1.65), low income (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.89-1.42), prior AMI (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.15-1.87), in-hospital length of stay (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.04-1.23), and being employed (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.69-1.12). The model had excellent calibration and modest discrimination (C statistic=0.67 in development/validation cohorts). Conclusions Women and those with a prior AMI, increased depressive symptoms, longer inpatient length of stay and diabetes may be more likely to be readmitted. Notably, several predictors of readmission were psychosocial characteristics rather than markers of AMI severity. This finding may inform the development of interventions to reduce readmissions in young patients with AMI.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusMyocardial InfarctionBayes TheoremFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient ReadmissionRisk FactorsTime FactorsUnited StatesYoung Adultacute myocardial infarctionBayesian model averagingpsychosocial factorsrisk prediction modelyoung adults

Identifiers

PMID34514837
PMCPMC8649501

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.