Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34513751›Full record

SynthesisCanadian journal of gastroenterology & hepatology2021

Reporting and Performance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models: Based on TRIPOD Statement and Meta-Analysis.

Liuqing Yang, Qiang Wang, Tingting Cui, Jinxin Huang, Hui Jin

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisReview
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Canadian journal of gastroenterology & hepatology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Comparison of abbreviated MRI and ultrasonography in the detection of early hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
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  8. Risk stratification of primary liver cancer.World journal of clinical cases · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Liuqing YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1752-9352
Qiang WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1393-2443
Tingting CuiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8242-6045
Jinxin HuangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8790-2434
Hui JinDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0071-9755
Southeast University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The performance of risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) was uncertain. The aim of the study was to critically evaluate the reports of transparent and external validation performances of these prediction models based on system review and meta-analysis. Methods: A systematic search of the Web of Science and PubMed was performed for studies published until October 17, 2020. The transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for the individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) tool was used to critically evaluate the quality of external validation reports for six models (CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, REACH-B, and mREACH-B). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) values was to estimate the pooled external validating performance based on meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis and metaregression were also performed to explore heterogeneity. Results: Our meta-analysis included 22 studies published between 2011 and 2020. The compliance of the included studies to TRIPOD ranged from 59% to 90% (median, 74%; interquartile range (IQR), 70%, 79%). The AUC values of the six models ranged from 0.715 to 0.778. In the antiviral therapy subgroups, the AUC values of mREACH-B, GAG-HCC, and mPAGE-B were 0.785, 0.760, and 0.778, respectively. In the cirrhosis subgroup, all models had poor discrimination performance (AUC < 0.7). Conclusions: A full report of calibration and handling of missing values would contribute to a greater improvement in the quality of external validation reports for CHB-related HCC risk prediction. It was necessary to develop a specific HCC risk prediction model for patients with cirrhosis.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularHepatitis B, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsAntiviral AgentsHumansLiver CirrhosisAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID34513751
PMCPMC8433031
OpenAlexW3189277122

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.