Associations of Serum Insulin-Like Growth Factor 1 with New Cardiovascular Events and Subsequent Death in Hemodialysis Patients: The DREAM Cohort.

aimPatients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have elevated risk of death from cardiovascular disease (CVD). A low serum insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) level is known to predict higher risk for all-cause mortality in incident dialysis patients, although it is unknown whether IGF-1 predicts cardiovascular outcomes.

methodsThis was a prospective cohort study of maintenance hemodialysis patients followed up for 5 years. Serum IGF-1 levels were measured at baseline, and patients were divided into IGF-1 tertiles. The key outcomes were all-cause mortality, a composite of new CVD, and death after new CVD events. Additional outcomes were hospitalization for infection and subsequent death. Association was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

resultsIn the 516 patients that were analyzed, we identified 106 all-cause deaths, 190 new CVD events, and 61 subsequent deaths. In addition, there were 169 hospitalizations for infection and 47 subsequent deaths. The risk of all-cause death was the highest in the lowest IGF-1 tertile, and this association remained significant in multivariable-adjusted models. Regarding CVD outcomes, IGF-1 was not associated with new CVD events but significantly associated with subsequent death in adjusted models. Similarly, IGF-1 was not an independent predictor of hospitalization for infection, but it predicted subsequent death.

conclusionsA low IGF-1 level was not a significant predictor of new CVD events but an independent predictor of subsequent death in hemodialysis patients. Since similar associations with infection outcomes were observed, IGF-1 may be a biomarker of fragility or frailty in this population.