Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34510779›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2021

Cost-effectiveness of prophylactic hysterectomy in first-degree female relatives with Lynch syndrome of patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer in the United States: a microsimulation study.

Maaike Alblas, Elisabeth F P Peterse, Mengmeng Du, Ann G Zauber, Ewout W Steyerberg, Nikki van Leeuwen, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 37% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Maaike AlblasDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2690-8810
Elisabeth F P PeterseDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4249-6169
Mengmeng DuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Ann G ZauberDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Ewout W SteyerbergDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Nikki van LeeuwenDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Iris Lansdorp-VogelaarDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus MC · NLMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USLeiden University Medical Center · NL

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Comparative Modeling of Colorectal Cancer: Informing Health Policies and Prioritizing Future ResearchU01CA199335 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KUNTZ, KAREN M, LANSDORP-VOGELAAR, IRIS · 2015 to 2019
$5.5M
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme 634570NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199335
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of prophylactic hysterectomy (PH) in women with Lynch syndrome (LS).

methodsWe developed a microsimulation model incorporating the natural history for the development of hyperplasia with and without atypia into endometrial cancer (EC) based on the MISCAN-framework. We simulated women identified as first-degree relatives (FDR) with LS of colorectal cancer patients after universal testing for LS. We estimated costs and benefits of offering this cohort PH, accounting for reduced quality of life after PH and for having EC. Three minimum ages (30/35/40) and three maximum ages (70/75/80) were compared to no PH.

resultsIn the absence of PH, the estimated number of EC cases was 300 per 1,000 women with LS. Total associated costs for treatment of EC were $5.9 million. Offering PH to FDRs aged 40-80 years was considered optimal. This strategy reduced the number of endometrial cancer cases to 5.4 (-98%), resulting in 516 quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained and increasing the costs (treatment of endometrial cancer and PH) to $15.0 million (+154%) per 1,000 women. PH from earlier ages was more costly and resulted in fewer QALYs, although this finding was sensitive to disutility for PH.

conclusionsOffering PH to 40- to 80-year-old women with LS is expected to add 0.5 QALY per person at acceptable costs. Women may decide to have PH at a younger age, depending on their individual disutility for PH and premature menopause.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overColorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary NonpolyposisCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansHysterectomyMiddle AgedQuality of LifeUnited Statesadvisory committeescost-effectivenesshysterectomylynch syndromemicrosimulationmicrosimulation modeltheoretical

Identifiers

PMID34510779
PMCPMC8495276
OpenAlexW3200059671

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.