Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34509198›Full record

ArticleThe lancet. HIV2021

Cancer risk in adolescents and young adults living with HIV in South Africa: a nationwide cohort study.

Yann Ruffieux, Tafadzwa Dhokotera, Mazvita Muchengeti, Lina Bartels, Victor Olago, Julia Bohlius, Elvira Singh, Matthias Egger, Eliane Rohner

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The lancet. HIV, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Risk of lymphoma among people with HIV in the United States, 2001-2019.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Cancer Immunotherapy Trials Network 12: Pembrolizumab in HIV-Associated Kaposi Sarcoma.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Navigating the Nexus: HIV and Breast Cancer-A Critical Review.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. A Lower CD4 Count Predicts Most Causes of Death except Cardiovascular Deaths. The Austrian HIV Cohort Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Yann RuffieuxInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Tafadzwa DhokoteraInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Graduate School for Cellular and Biomedical Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; National Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Mazvita MuchengetiNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Lina BartelsInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Victor OlagoNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Julia BohliusInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Elvira SinghNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Eliane RohnerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. Electronic address: eliane.rohner@ispm.unibe.ch.
National Health Laboratory Service · ZAUniversity of Bern · CHInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine · CHUniversity of Bristol · GBUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZA

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLiterature on cancer in adolescents and young adults (AYA; aged 15-24 years) living with HIV is scarce. We studied cancer incidence in AYA living with HIV in South Africa between 2004 and 2014.

methodsIn this nationwide cohort study, we included individuals between 15 and 24 years old who had at least two HIV-related laboratory measurements on separate days between Jan 1, 2004, and Dec 31, 2014, recorded in the National Health Laboratory Service database. We used privacy-preserving probabilistic record linkage methods to identify HIV-related laboratory records that most likely belonged to the same individual and to then link these individuals to cancer diagnoses from the National Cancer Registry. We computed incidence rates for the most common cancers in AYA living with HIV, and we assessed associations between these cancers and sex, age, calendar year, and CD4 cell count using Cox proportional hazards models and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).

findingsWe included 782 454 AYA living with HIV (698 066 [89·2%] women) with 1 428 114 person-years of follow-up. Of those, 867 developed incident cancer (incidence rate 60·7 per 100 000 person-years), including 429 who developed Kaposi sarcoma (30·0 per 100 000 person-years), 107 non-Hodgkin lymphoma (7·5 per 100 000 person-years), 48 Hodgkin lymphoma (3·4 per 100 000 person-years), 45 cervical cancer (3·4 per 100 000 woman-years), and 32 leukaemia (2·2 per 100 000 person-years). Kaposi sarcoma was more common in the 20-24 year age group than the 15-19 year age group (aHR 1·39, 95% CI 1·03-1·86). Male sex was associated with higher rates of Kaposi sarcoma (2·06, 1·61-2·63), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (3·17, 2·06-4·89), Hodgkin lymphoma (4·83, 2·61-8·93), and leukaemia (unadjusted HR 5·90, 95% CI 2·87-12·12). Cancer rates decreased over the study period, driven by declining Kaposi sarcoma rates. Lower baseline CD4 cell counts were associated with higher rates of Kaposi sarcoma, cervical cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and Hodgkin lymphoma, but not leukaemia.

interpretationInfection-related cancers were the most common cancer types in AYA living with HIV in South Africa, and their incidence rates increased with lower CD4 cell counts. Therefore, innovative strategies to maintaining high CD4 cell counts are needed to reduce the cancer burden in this vulnerable population.

fundingUS National Institutes of Health and Swiss National Science Foundation.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultCD4 Lymphocyte CountCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleSouth AfricaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID34509198
PMCPMC8491099
OpenAlexW3198025015

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.