ArticleJournal of theoretical biology2021
Network models to evaluate vaccine strategies towards herd immunity in COVID-19.
Article in Journal of theoretical biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Remarks on a Scaling Theory of Spread of COVID-19 with an Application to the Case of Bulgaria.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Simulating targeted vaccination strategies with network-based and agent-based models: A scoping review.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Linking within-host immune dynamics to between-host transmission and reinfection risk.Journal of theoretical biology · 2025Article
- Accounting for contact network uncertainty in epidemic inferences with Approximate Bayesian Computation.Applied network science · 2025Article
- Assessing the impacts of vaccination and viral evolution in contact networks.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Population-Level Immunity for Transient Suppression of COVID-19 Waves in Japan from April 2021 to September 2022.Vaccines · 2023Article
- Benefits of near-universal vaccination and treatment access to manage COVID-19 burden in the United States.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Article
- An agent-based nested model integrating within-host and between-host mechanisms to predict an epidemic.PloS one · 2023Article
- A hybrid compartmental model with a case study of COVID-19 in Great Britain and Israel.Journal of mathematics in industry · 2023Article
- Optimizing two-dose vaccine resource allocation to combat a pandemic in the context of limited supply: The case of COVID-19.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Impulsive Neural Control to Schedule Antivirals and Immunomodulators for COVID-19.Proceedings of the ... IEEE Conference on Decision & Control. IEEE Conference on Decision & Control · 2022Article
- Dynamics and strategies evaluations of a novel reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model with direct and aerosol transmission.Journal of the Franklin Institute · 2022Article
- Estimation of mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination Effectiveness in Tokyo for Omicron Variants BA.2 and BA.5: Effect of Social Behavior.Vaccines · 2022Article
- Nonlinear time-series forecasts for decision support: short-term demand for ICU beds in Santiago, Chile, during the 2021 COVID-19 pandemic.International transactions in operational research : a journal of The International Federation of Operational Research Societies · 2022Article
- Projecting the impact of Covid-19 variants and vaccination strategies in disease transmission using a multilayer network model in Costa Rica.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Prioritizing vaccination based on analysis of community networks.Applied network science · 2022Article
- Stability Analysis of an Extended SEIR COVID-19 Fractional Model with Vaccination Efficiency.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- COVID-19 vaccination strategies depend on the underlying network of social interactions.Scientific reports · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Vaccination remains a critical element in the eventual solution to the COVID-19 public health crisis. Many vaccines are already being mass produced and supplied in many countries. However, the COVID-19 vaccination programme will be the biggest in history. Reaching herd immunity will require an unprecedented mass immunisation campaign that will take several months and millions of dollars. Using different network models, COVID-19 pandemic dynamics of different countries can be recapitulated such as in Italy. Stochastic computational simulations highlight that peak epidemic sizes in a population strongly depend on the network structure. Assuming a vaccine efficacy of at least 80% in a mass vaccination program, at least 70% of a given population should be vaccinated to obtain herd immunity, independently of the network structure. If the vaccine efficacy reports lower levels of efficacy in practice, then the coverage of vaccination would be needed to be even higher. Simulations suggest that the "Ring of Vaccination" strategy, vaccinating susceptible contact and contact of contacts, would prevent new waves of COVID -19 meanwhile a high percent of the population is vaccinated.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.