Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34508349›Full record

ArticleHealth policy and planning2021

Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?

Raphael Mendonça Guimarães, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da Silva, Gustavo Pedroso de Lima Brusse, Thalyta Cássia de Freitas Martins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health policy and planning, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Effectiveness of social distancing measures and lockdowns for reducing transmission of COVID-19 in non-healthcare, community-based settings.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Enhancing the epidemiological surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 using Sanger sequencing to identify circulating variants and recombinants.Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology] · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Raphael Mendonça GuimarãesFiocruz' Observatory Covid-19, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Ministry of Health, Leopoldo Bulhões Street, 1480, 9th Floor, RJ 21041-960, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-1225-6719
José Henrique Costa Monteiro da SilvaCELADE, Population Division of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC/CEPAL), Avenue Dag Hammarskjöld 3477, Vitacura, Santiago de Chile 7630412, Chile.
Gustavo Pedroso de Lima BrusseUniversity of Campinas (UNICAMP), Av. Albert Einstein, 1300, Cidade Universitária, Campinas, SP 13083-852, Brazil.
Thalyta Cássia de Freitas MartinsNational School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Ministry of Health, Leopoldo Bulhões Street, 1480, 9th Floor, RJ 21041-960, Brazil.

Funding

Fundação Oswaldo Cruz VPPIS-005-FIO-20-2-47
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to examine the association between physical distancing measures and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence among Brazilian states. We divided the methodology was divided into three steps. In the first step, we used nationwide global positioning system daily data to estimate country and state-level physical distancing and examined the association with COVID-19 incidence through a Generalized Additive Model. Secondly, using National Household Sample Survey COVID19 data, a cluster analysis categorized the Brazilian states into different categories of physical distancing policies promoting adoption and political inclination of their governments. Finally, through a Poisson Regression Model, we examined the association of state physical distancing with variables related to the socio-economic situation, test coverage and early adoption of policies promoting physical distancing of each state. Physical distancing effects on reduction of COVID-19 spread are heterogeneous among states. Estimation of incidence rate ratio (IRR) suggests that in a scenario of 100% of social isolation incidence of COVID-19 will have reached approximately only 2.6% of the magnitude compared to when there is no social isolation for Brazil [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8-8.3]. Only a 10% increase in Social Isolation Index in the country could have reflected in a 30.5% decrease in number of cases in 14 days. Adoption of physical distancing was associated with test coverage (IRR 0.976, 95% CI 0.973-0.979), home office (IRR 1.042, 95% CI 1.039-1.046), informal work proportion (IRR 0.961, 95% CI 0.958-0.965), political spectrum (IRR 0.961, 95% CI 0.958-0.965) and early moment of restrictive politics implementation (IRR 1.017, 95% CI 1.013-1.021). Physical distancing measures play a crucial role in mitigating the pandemic's spread. These analyses are crucial to support government decisions and improve the community's adherence to preventive measures.

Indexed as

COVID-19Physical DistancingBrazilHumansIncidenceSARS-CoV-2BrazilCOVID-19incidencephysical distancingtime series

Identifiers

PMID34508349
PMCPMC8499867

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.