Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34505031›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2021

Risk Factors for HIV sero-conversion in a high incidence cohort of men who have sex with men and transgender women in Bangkok, Thailand.

Tanyaporn Wansom, Sant Muangnoicharoen, Sorachai Nitayaphan, Suchai Kitsiripornchai, Trevor A Crowell, Leilani Francisco, Paileen Gilbert, Dixion Rwakasyaguri, Jittima Dhitavat, Qun Li and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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  2. International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Tanyaporn WansomUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Sant MuangnoicharoenVaccine Trial Centre, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Sorachai NitayaphanRoyal Thai Army Component, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, Thailand.
Suchai KitsiripornchaiArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, Thailand.
Trevor A CrowellUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Leilani FranciscoUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Paileen GilbertUS Army Medical Research Development Command (USAMRDC) Office of Regulated Activities (ORA) Special Operations Branch, Fort Detrick, Fort Detrick, MD, USA.
Dixion RwakasyaguriUS Army Medical Research Development Command (USAMRDC) Office of Regulated Activities (ORA) Special Operations Branch, Fort Detrick, Fort Detrick, MD, USA.
Jittima DhitavatVaccine Trial Centre, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Qun LiUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
David KingHenry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland, United States.
Merlin L RobbUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Kirsten SmithUS Army Medical Research and Development Command, Fort Detrick, Maryland, USA.
Elizabeth A HegerUS Army Medical Materiel Development Activity, Fort Detrick, Maryland, USA.
Siriwat AkapiratArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, Thailand.
Punnee PitisuttithumVaccine Trial Centre, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Robert J O'ConnellUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Sandhya VasanUS Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, United States.
Henry M. Jackson Foundation · USArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Science · THUnited States Army Medical Research and Development Command · USMahidol University · TH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe measured Human Immunodeficiency (HIV) incidence, retention, and assessed risk factors for seroconversion among two previously unreported cohorts of men who have sex with men (MSM) and Transgender Women (TGW) in Bangkok, Thailand between 2017 and 2019.

methodsWe conducted an 18-month prospective cohort study of HIV-uninfected Thai cisgender men and TGW aged between 18 and 35 years who reported sex with men in the past six months and at least one additional risk factor for HIV infection. HIV and syphilis testing and computer-based behavioral questionnaires were administered at each visit. We utilized Poisson regression to calculate HIV incidence rates. A survival random forest model identified the most predictive risk factors for HIV sero-conversion and then used in a survival regression tree model to elucidate hazard ratios for individuals with groups of selected risk factors. Cox proportional hazards (pH) regression evaluated the strength of association between individual covariates and risk of sero-conversion.

findingsFrom April 2017-October 2019, 1,184 participants were screened, 167 were found ineligible, and 1,017 enrolled. Over the 18-month study, visit retention was 93·4% (95% CI 91·6%-94·8%) and HIV incidence was 3·73 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2·79-5·87). Utilizing survival regression tree modeling, those who were 18-20 years of age, reported sexual attraction to mostly or only men, and had five or more lifetime sexual partners were 4·9 times more likely to seroconvert compared to other cohort participants. Factors associated with HIV incidence utilizing Cox pH regression included sexual attraction to mostly or only men (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 14·9 (95% CI 20·1-107·9), younger age (18-19 years, aHR 10·88 (95% CI 4·12-28·7), five or greater lifetime sexual partners (aHR 2·0, 95%CI 1·1-3·6), inconsistent condom use with casual partners (aHR 2·43, 95% CI 1·3-4·5), and prior HIV testing (adjusted HR 2·0, 95% CI 1·1-3·5).

interpretationInterpretation HIV incidence remains high among Bangkok-based MSM and TGW. These key populations expressed high interest in participating in efficacy evaluation of future prevention strategies and had high retention in this 18 month study.

fundingFunding US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), Division of AIDS Interagency Agreements (DAIDS) and U.S. Department of the Army.

Identifiers

PMID34505031
PMCPMC8413240
OpenAlexW3183665714

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.