Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34504028›Full record

ArticleNeurology2021

Predicting Symptom Onset in Sporadic Alzheimer Disease With Amyloid PET.

Suzanne E Schindler, Yan Li, Virginia D Buckles, Brian A Gordon, Tammie L S Benzinger, Guoqiao Wang, Dean Coble, William E Klunk, Anne M Fagan, David M Holtzman and 3 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 89 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Do amyloid trajectories reach a ceiling? Evidence from iterative approximation and simulation.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
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  13. AI-enhanced Centiloid quantification of amyloid PET images.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
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  15. Tau mediates the impact of amyloid and vascular disease burden on the trajectory of clinical symptoms.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
  16. Comparison of amyloid chronicity and EYO in autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
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  20. Factors associated with age at tau pathology onset and time from tau onset to dementia in Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article

6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Suzanne E SchindlerFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA. schindler.s.e@wustl.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-1680-1465
Yan LiFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Virginia D BucklesFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Brian A GordonFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Tammie L S BenzingerFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Guoqiao WangFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Dean CobleFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.ORCID 0000-0001-7551-3132
William E KlunkFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Anne M FaganFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
David M HoltzmanFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-3400-0856
Randall J BatemanFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-7729-1702
John C MorrisFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Chengjie XiongFrom the Department of Neurology (S.E.S., Y.L., V.D.B., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M.), Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center (S.E.S., V.D.B., B.A.G., T.L.S.B., G.W., D.C., A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B., J.C.M., C.X.), Division of Biostatistics (Y.L., G.W., D.C., C.X.), Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology (B.A.G., T.L.S.B.), and Hope Center for Neurological Disorders (A.M.F., D.M.H., R.J.B.), Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; and Department of Neurology and Psychiatry (W.E.K.), University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Maine Farmland Trust · US

Funding

WU INSTITUTE OF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCESUL1TR002345 · NCATS · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI William G. Powderly · 2017 to 2026
$97.8M
Smartphone-Based "Burst" Cognitive AssessmentsP01AG003991 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Tammie Lee Smith Benzinger · 1985 to 2026
$69.5M
The natural history of AB accumulation in preclinical ADP01AG026276 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2005 to 2025
$49.5M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066444 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI DAVID M. HOLTZMAN · 2020 to 2026
$28.7M
PURCHASE OF A SIEMENS NEXT GENERATION PET/CTS10OD025214 · OD · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI WOODARD, PAMELA K · 2018 to 2018
$2.0M
Proteomic characterization of aging cerebellumR01AG025350 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS LAWRENCE · PI SCHONEICH, CHRISTIAN · 2004 to 2008
$1.4M
STAGING PRECLINICAL AD WITH CSF BIOMARKERSK23AG053426 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2017 to 2020
$654k
Neuroimaging Markers of Emerging Dysfunction In Preclinical Alzheimer DiseaseK01AG053474 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GORDON, BRIAN ANDREW · 2017 to 2021
$623k
AGE-RELATED BIOMARKET CHANGES IN CEREBROSPINAL FLUIDR03AG050921 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2015 to 2016
$229k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002345NIA NIH HHS K01 AG053474NIA NIH HHS K23 AG053426NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003991NIA NIH HHS P01 AG026276NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066444NIA NIH HHS R01 AG025350NIA NIH HHS R03 AG050921NIH HHS S10 OD025214
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesTo predict when cognitively normal individuals with brain amyloidosis will develop symptoms of Alzheimer disease (AD).

methodsBrain amyloid burden was measured by amyloid PET with Pittsburgh compound B. The mean cortical standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) was transformed into a timescale with the use of longitudinal data.

resultsAmyloid accumulation was evaluated in 236 individuals who underwent >1 amyloid PET scan. The average age was 66.5 ± 9.2 years, and 12 individuals (5%) had cognitive impairment at their baseline amyloid PET scan. A tipping point in amyloid accumulation was identified at a low level of amyloid burden (SUVR 1.2), after which nearly all individuals accumulated amyloid at a relatively consistent rate until reaching a high level of amyloid burden (SUVR 3.0). The average time between levels of amyloid burden was used to estimate the age at which an individual reached SUVR 1.2. Longitudinal clinical diagnoses for 180 individuals were aligned by the estimated age at SUVR 1.2. In the 22 individuals who progressed from cognitively normal to a typical AD dementia syndrome, the estimated age at which an individual reached SUVR 1.2 predicted the age at symptom onset (

conclusionThe age at symptom onset in sporadic AD is strongly correlated with the age at which an individual reaches a tipping point in amyloid accumulation.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseAmyloidosisCognitive DysfunctionAgedAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesAniline CompoundsBrainHumansMiddle AgedPositron-Emission TomographyAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesAniline Compounds

Identifiers

PMID34504028
PMCPMC8610624
OpenAlexW3197893083

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.