Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34499663›Full record

Observational studyPLoS medicine2021

Body muscle gain and markers of cardiovascular disease susceptibility in young adulthood: A cohort study.

Joshua A Bell, Kaitlin H Wade, Linda M O'Keeffe, David Carslake, Emma E Vincent, Michael V Holmes, Nicholas J Timpson, George Davey Smith

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PLoS medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Leveraging Multiomic Signatures to Predict Body Composition.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Joshua A BellMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6892-8786
Kaitlin H WadeMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3362-6280
Linda M O'KeeffeMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0003-0774
David CarslakeMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2916-4546
Emma E VincentMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8917-7384
Michael V HolmesMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6617-0879
Nicholas J TimpsonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7141-9189
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1407-8314
University of Bristol · GBNational Institute for Health Research · GBUniversity College Cork · IE

Funding

British Heart Foundation CS/15/6/31468Cancer Research UK 29019Medical Research Council MC_PC_15018Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/3Wellcome Trust 202802/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe potential benefits of gaining body muscle for cardiovascular disease (CVD) susceptibility, and how these compare with the potential harms of gaining body fat, are unknown. We compared associations of early life changes in body lean mass and handgrip strength versus body fat mass with atherogenic traits measured in young adulthood. METHODS AND

findingsData were from 3,227 offspring of the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (39% male; recruited in 1991-1992). Limb lean and total fat mass indices (kg/m2) were measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans performed at age 10, 13, 18, and 25 y (across clinics occurring from 2001-2003 to 2015-2017). Handgrip strength was measured at 12 and 25 y, expressed as maximum grip (kg or lb/in2) and relative grip (maximum grip/weight in kilograms). Linear regression models were used to examine associations of change in standardised measures of these exposures across different stages of body development with 228 cardiometabolic traits measured at age 25 y including blood pressure, fasting insulin, and metabolomics-derived apolipoprotein B lipids. SD-unit gain in limb lean mass index from 10 to 25 y was positively associated with atherogenic traits including very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) triglycerides. This pattern was limited to lean gain in legs, whereas lean gain in arms was inversely associated with traits including VLDL triglycerides, insulin, and glycoprotein acetyls, and was also positively associated with creatinine (a muscle product and positive control). Furthermore, this pattern for arm lean mass index was specific to SD-unit gains occurring between 13 and 18 y, e.g., -0.13 SD (95% CI -0.22, -0.04) for VLDL triglycerides. Changes in maximum and relative grip from 12 to 25 y were both positively associated with creatinine, but only change in relative grip was also inversely associated with atherogenic traits, e.g., -0.12 SD (95% CI -0.18, -0.06) for VLDL triglycerides per SD-unit gain. Change in fat mass index from 10 to 25 y was more strongly associated with atherogenic traits including VLDL triglycerides, at 0.45 SD (95% CI 0.39, 0.52); these estimates were directionally consistent across sub-periods, with larger effect sizes with more recent gains. Associations of lean, grip, and fat measures with traits were more pronounced among males. Study limitations include potential residual confounding of observational estimates, including by ectopic fat within muscle, and the absence of grip measures in adolescence for estimates of grip change over sub-periods.

conclusionsIn this study, we found that muscle strengthening, as indicated by grip strength gain, was weakly associated with lower atherogenic trait levels in young adulthood, at a smaller magnitude than unfavourable associations of fat mass gain. Associations of muscle mass gain with such traits appear to be smaller and limited to gains occurring in adolescence. These results suggest that body muscle is less robustly associated with markers of CVD susceptibility than body fat and may therefore be a lower-priority intervention target.

Indexed as

AdiposityHand StrengthMuscle DevelopmentAbsorptiometry, PhotonAdipose TissueAdolescentAdolescent DevelopmentAdultAge FactorsBiomarkersCardiometabolic Risk FactorsCardiovascular DiseasesChildChild DevelopmentEnglandFemaleBiomarkersLipids

Identifiers

PMID34499663
PMCPMC8428664
OpenAlexW3196960067

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.