Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34493760›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

A simple method to describe the COVID-19 trajectory and dynamics in any country based on Johnson cumulative density function fitting.

Adam M Ćmiel, Bogdan Ćmiel

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 40% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. COVID-19 in Memes: The Adaptive Response of Societies to the Pandemic?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Adam M ĆmielInstitute of Nature Conservation, Polish Academy of Sciences, al. A. Mickiewicza 33, 31-120, Kraków, Poland. cmiel@iop.krakow.pl.ORCID 0000-0002-2822-655X
Bogdan ĆmielFaculty of Applied Mathematics, AGH University of Science and Technology, al. A. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
AGH University of Krakow · PLInstitute of Nature Conservation · PL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A simple method is utilised to study and compare COVID-19 infection dynamics between countries based on curve fitting to publicly shared data of confirmed COVID-19 infections. The method was tested using data from 80 countries from 6 continents. We found that Johnson cumulative density functions (CDFs) were extremely well fitted to the data (R

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalCOVID-19Data Interpretation, StatisticalFeasibility StudiesForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseGross Domestic ProductHumansNormal DistributionPandemicsPopulation Density

Identifiers

PMID34493760
PMCPMC8423734
OpenAlexW3196364481

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.