ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2021
The economic value of quarantine is higher at lower case prevalence, with quarantine justified at lower risk of infection.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Facile synthesis of zinc-coordinated lignin nanoparticles derived from sugarcane bagasse waste biomass for sustainable bioactive composites.Discover nano · 2026Article
- Article
- Combatting SARS-CoV-2 With Digital Contact Tracing and Notification: Navigating Six Points of Failure.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2023Review
- Design of novel pyrimidine based remdesivir analogues with dual target specificity for SARS CoV-2: A computational approach.International journal of biological macromolecules · 2023Article
- Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Infection Risk Within the Google/Apple Exposure Notification Framework to Inform Quarantine Recommendations.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Some infectious diseases, such as COVID-19 or the influenza pandemic of 1918, are so harmful that they justify broad-scale social distancing. Targeted quarantine can reduce the amount of indiscriminate social distancing needed to control transmission. Finding the optimal balance between targeted versus broad-scale policies can be operationalized by minimizing the total amount of social isolation needed to achieve a target reproductive number. Optimality is achieved by quarantining on the basis of a risk threshold that depends strongly on current disease prevalence, suggesting that very different disease control policies should be used at different times or places. Aggressive quarantine is warranted given low disease prevalence, while populations with a higher base rate of infection should rely more on social distancing by all. The total value of a quarantine policy rises as case counts fall, is relatively insensitive to vaccination unless the vaccinated are exempt from distancing policies, and is substantially increased by the availability of modestly more information about individual risk of infectiousness.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.