Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34491204›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2021

Machine Learning Analysis of Time-Dependent Features for Predicting Adverse Events During Hemodialysis Therapy: Model Development and Validation Study.

Yi-Shiuan Liu, Chih-Yu Yang, Ping-Fang Chiu, Hui-Chu Lin, Chung-Chuan Lo, Alan Szu-Han Lai, Chia-Chu Chang, Oscar Kuang-Sheng Lee

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Yi-Shiuan LiuInstitute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-3205-8963
Chih-Yu Yang *Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-9899-3159
Ping-Fang ChiuDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-3143-6662
Hui-Chu LinStem Cell Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-2484-1918
Chung-Chuan LoInstitute of Systems Neuroscience, National Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-7737-7250
Alan Szu-Han LaiStem Cell Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-8282-3024
Chia-Chu ChangDepartment of Medicine, Kuang Tien General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-3172-8507
Oscar Kuang-Sheng Lee *Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-5232-5374
National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University · TWChanghua Christian Hospital · TWKuang Tien General Hospital · TWNational Tsing Hua University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHemodialysis (HD) therapy is an indispensable tool used in critical care management. Patients undergoing HD are at risk for intradialytic adverse events, ranging from muscle cramps to cardiac arrest. So far, there is no effective HD device-integrated algorithm to assist medical staff in response to these adverse events a step earlier during HD.

objectiveWe aimed to develop machine learning algorithms to predict intradialytic adverse events in an unbiased manner.

methodsThree-month dialysis and physiological time-series data were collected from all patients who underwent maintenance HD therapy at a tertiary care referral center. Dialysis data were collected automatically by HD devices, and physiological data were recorded by medical staff. Intradialytic adverse events were documented by medical staff according to patient complaints. Features extracted from the time series data sets by linear and differential analyses were used for machine learning to predict adverse events during HD.

resultsTime series dialysis data were collected during the 4-hour HD session in 108 patients who underwent maintenance HD therapy. There were a total of 4221 HD sessions, 406 of which involved at least one intradialytic adverse event. Models were built by classification algorithms and evaluated by four-fold cross-validation. The developed algorithm predicted overall intradialytic adverse events, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83, sensitivity of 0.53, and specificity of 0.96. The algorithm also predicted muscle cramps, with an AUC of 0.85, and blood pressure elevation, with an AUC of 0.93. In addition, the model built based on ultrafiltration-unrelated features predicted all types of adverse events, with an AUC of 0.81, indicating that ultrafiltration-unrelated factors also contribute to the onset of adverse events.

conclusionsOur results demonstrated that algorithms combining linear and differential analyses with two-class classification machine learning can predict intradialytic adverse events in quasi-real time with high AUCs. Such a methodology implemented with local cloud computation and real-time optimization by personalized HD data could warn clinicians to take timely actions in advance.

Indexed as

HypotensionAlgorithmsHumansMachine LearningRenal Dialysishemodialysisintradialytic adverse eventsmachine learningprediction algorithm

Identifiers

PMID34491204
PMCPMC8456349
OpenAlexW3198718304

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.