Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34489283›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Cost-effectiveness analysis of different screening strategies for colorectal cancer in Guangzhou, southern China: a Markov simulation analysis based on natural community screening results.

Qin Zhou, Hai-Lin Li, Yan Li, Yu-Ting Gu, Ying-Ru Liang, Hua-Zhang Liu, Ke Li, Hang Dong, Yuan-Yuan Chen, Guo-Zhen Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Qin ZhouNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China 273142563@qq.com.ORCID 0000-0003-3637-8518
Hai-Lin LiNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yan LiNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yu-Ting GuMedical Record Statistics, Sun Yat-sen University First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Ying-Ru LiangNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Hua-Zhang LiuNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Ke LiNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Hang DongNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yuan-Yuan ChenNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Guo-Zhen LinNon-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of four different primary screening strategies: high-risk factor questionnaire (HRFQ) alone, single immunochemical faecal occult blood test (iFOBT), double iFOBT and HRFQ+double iFOBT for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening compared with no screening using the Markov model.

methodsTreeage Pro V.2011 software was used to simulate the Markov model. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, which was compared with the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, was used to reflect the cost-effectiveness of the CRC screening method. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used for parameter uncertainty.

resultsAll strategies had greater effectiveness because they had more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) than no screening. When the WTP was ¥435 762/QALY, all screening strategies were cost-effective compared with no screening. The double iFOBT strategy was the best-buy option compared with all other strategies because it had the most QALYs and the least cost. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the sensitivity of low-risk adenoma, compliance with colonoscopy and primary screening cost were the main influencing factors comparing single iFOBT, double iFOBT and HRFQ+double iFOBT with no screening. However, within the scope of this study, there was no fundamental impact on cost-effectiveness. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that when the WTP was ¥435 762/QALY, the probabilities of the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve with HRFQ alone, single iFOBT, double iFOBT and HRFQ+double iFOBT were 0.0%, 5.3%, 69.3% and 25.4%, respectively.

conclusionsAll screening strategies for CRC were cost-effective compared with no screening strategy. Double iFOBT was the best-buy option compared with all other strategies. The significant influencing factors were the sensitivity of low-risk polyps, compliance with colonoscopy and cost of primary screening.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerChinaColonoscopyCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansMarkov ChainsMass ScreeningOccult BloodQuality-Adjusted Life Yearsgastroenterologyhealth economicsoncologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID34489283
PMCPMC8422490

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.