Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34487837›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical epidemiology2021

Regression discontinuity analysis demonstrated varied effect of Treat-All on CD4 testing among Southern African countries.

Elizabeth Zaniewski, Ellen Brazier, Cam Ha Dao Ostinelli, Robin Wood, Meg Osler, Karl-Günter Technau, Joep J van Oosterhout, Nicola Maxwell, Janneke van Dijk, Hans Prozesky and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Global Trends in CD4 Count Measurement and Distribution at First Antiretroviral Treatment Initiation.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Elizabeth ZaniewskiInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. Electronic address: elizabeth.zaniewski@ispm.unibe.ch.
Ellen BrazierInstitute for Implementation Science in Population Health (ISPH), Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Cam Ha Dao OstinelliInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Robin WoodDesmond Tutu HIV Center, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Meg OslerCenter for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Karl-Günter TechnauEmpilweni Services and Research Unit, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Joep J van OosterhoutPartners in Hope, Lilongwe, Malawi; David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA.
Nicola MaxwellCenter for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Janneke van DijkSolidarmed Zimbabwe, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.
Hans ProzeskyDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Matthew P FoxDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Jacob BorDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Denis NashInstitute for Implementation Science in Population Health (ISPH), Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
"Enhancing Cancer Research in Central Africa IeDEA"U01AI096299 · NIAID · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI Denis Nash, Marcel Yotebieng · 2011 to 2026
$35.8M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI096299
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine whether Treat-All policy impacted laboratory testing practices of antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs in Southern Africa. STUDY DESIGN AND

settingWe used HIV cohort data from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe in a regression discontinuity design to estimate changes in pre-ART CD4 testing and viral load monitoring following national Treat-all adoption that occurred during 2016 to 2017. This study included more than 230,000 ART-naïve people living with HIV (PLHIV) aged five years or older who started ART within two years of national Treat-All adoption.

resultsWe found pre-ART CD4 testing decreased following adoption of Treat-All recommendations in Malawi (-21.4 percentage points (pp), 95% confidence interval, CI: -26.8, -16.0) and in Mozambique (-8.8pp, 95% CI: -14.9, -2.8), but increased in Zambia (+2.7pp, 95% CI: +0.4, +5.1). Treat-All policy had no effect on viral load monitoring, except among females in South Africa (+7.1pp, 95% CI: +1.1, +13.0).

conclusionTreat-All policy expanded ART eligibility, but led to reductions in pre-ART CD4 testing in some countries that may weaken advanced HIV disease management. Continued and expanded support of CD4 and viral load laboratory capacity is needed to further improve treatment successes and allow for uniform evaluation of ART implementation across Southern Africa.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAfrica, SouthernAnti-HIV AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleHealth PolicyHIV InfectionsHumansMaleRegression AnalysisViral LoadYoung AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral therapyCD4 lymphocyte countHIV infectionRegression discontinuity designSouthern AfricaViral load

Identifiers

PMID34487837
PMCPMC8712349

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.