ArticleGlobal change biology2021
Bright spots as climate-smart marine spatial planning tools for conservation and blue growth.
Article in Global change biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Thermal Vulnerability of Reef Fish and Implications for Subsistence Fisheries Throughout the Caribbean.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Review
- The Geography of Mediterranean Benthic Communities Under Climate Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Balancing the blue economy and multiple stressor management in marine spatial planning at the land-sea interface.npj ocean sustainability · 2026Review
- Three-dimensional conservation planning of fish biodiversity metrics to achieve the deep-sea 30×30 conservation target.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025Article
- Seascape connectivity: evidence, knowledge gaps and implications for temperate coastal ecosystem restoration practice and policy.npj ocean sustainability · 2025Article
- The opportunity for climate action through climate-smart Marine Spatial Planning.npj ocean sustainability · 2025Review
- The role of continental shelf bathymetry in shaping marine range shifts in the face of climate change.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Marine protected areas in the context of climate change: key challenges for coastal social-ecological systems.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022Review
- Bright spots as climate-smart marine spatial planning tools for conservation and blue growth.Global change biology · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
20 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Marine spatial planning that addresses ocean climate-driven change ('climate-smart MSP') is a global aspiration to support economic growth, food security and ecosystem sustainability. Ocean climate change ('CC') modelling may become a key decision-support tool for MSP, but traditional modelling analysis and communication challenges prevent their broad uptake. We employed MSP-specific ocean climate modelling analyses to inform a real-life MSP process; addressing how nature conservation and fisheries could be adapted to CC. We found that the currently planned distribution of these activities may become unsustainable during the policy's implementation due to CC, leading to a shortfall in its sustainability and blue growth targets. Significant, climate-driven ecosystem-level shifts in ocean components underpinning designated sites and fishing activity were estimated, reflecting different magnitudes of shifts in benthic versus pelagic, and inshore versus offshore habitats. Supporting adaptation, we then identified: CC refugia (areas where the ecosystem remains within the boundaries of its present state); CC hotspots (where climate drives the ecosystem towards a new state, inconsistent with each sectors' present use distribution); and for the first time, identified bright spots (areas where oceanographic processes drive range expansion opportunities that may support sustainable growth in the medium term). We thus create the means to: identify where sector-relevant ecosystem change is attributable to CC; incorporate resilient delivery of conservation and sustainable ecosystem management aims into MSP; and to harness opportunities for blue growth where they exist. Capturing CC bright spots alongside refugia within protected areas may present important opportunities to meet sustainability targets while helping support the fishing sector in a changing climate. By capitalizing on the natural distribution of climate resilience within ocean ecosystems, such climate-adaptive spatial management strategies could be seen as nature-based solutions to limit the impact of CC on ocean ecosystems and dependent blue economy sectors, paving the way for climate-smart MSP.
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