Observational studyCancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center
Influence of Age on 2040 Cancer Burden in the Older Population of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries: Public Health Implications.
Observational study in Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.
- Epidemiology of Cancer in Older Adults: A Systematic Review.Current oncology reports · 2024Pooled it
- Leukemia Incidence and Demographic Trends in Saudi Arabia, 1997-2022: A Nationwide Registry Analysis.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2025Article
- Epidemiological and histopathological spectrum of gastrointestinal tract disorders: a decade of records from the UAE.BMC gastroenterology · 2025Article
- Breast Cancer in the Arabian Gulf Countries.Cancers · 2023Review
- Effectiveness of an Educational Program on Awareness of Cancer Risk Factors, Symptoms, and Barriers to Medical Help-Seeking Among Adolescent Omani Students: an Interventional Study.Journal of cancer education : the official journal of the American Association for Cancer Education · 2023Article
- Forecasting Head and Neck Cancer Trends in GCC Countries: Implications for Public Health Policy and Strategy.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2023Article
- Colorectal Cancer in Saudi Arabia: The Way Forward.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2023Article
- Cancer in the Oldest-Old Population in the MENA Region: Epidemiology and Temporal Trends Based on GBD 2021.Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer CenterArticle
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION AND STUDY
aimsThe underlying population of global regions varies widely and is a major determinant of regional cancer differences. The aims were to: (1) estimate the cancer burden in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries in 2040 for the ≥70 population and (2) assess the public health implications for this cancer increase.
methodsWe used Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) estimates of cancer incidence and mortality for people aged 70 years or more in GCC countries from 2018 to 2040 from the International Agency for Research on Cancer. For population growth, we used data for the same period from the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. From these, we calculated the predicted increase in the number of cancer cases and cancer deaths from 2018 to 2040 and the proportion of cases/deaths represented by those aged 70+ for the 2 time periods.
findingsIn the GCC countries, the predicted number of newly diagnosed cancers and cancer deaths in the older population will increase by 465% and 462% respectively due to demographic changes-greater than other countries in the World Health Organization Eastern Mediterranean Region, or in countries of similar economic development. The largest predicted increases will be for Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Based on the predicted population age, cancer burden among older people in the GCC countries will increase by approximately 460%.
conclusionBy the year 2040, the relationship between cancer and age will cause a 4- to 5-fold increase in the cancer burden in the GCC. These predictable changes will require additional planning and resources to provide appropriate healthcare.
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