Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34475881›Full record

ArticleRevista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health2021

[Functional dependence and support for the older persons in Mexico, 2001-2026Dependência funcional e apoio em idosos no México, 2001-2026].

César González-González, Gianluca Cafagna, María Del Carmen Hernández Ruiz, Pablo Ibarrarán, Marco Stampini

Open access · diamondAbstract readEnglish Abstract
In one paragraph

Article in Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Toward healthy aging in Latin America and the Caribbean: leaving no one behind?Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2021
    Article
  5. Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

César González-GonzálezFacultad de Trabajo Social, Universidad de Colima Colima México Facultad de Trabajo Social, Universidad de Colima, Colima, México.
Gianluca CafagnaPráctica Global de Salud, Nutrición y Población, Banco Mundial Washington, DC Estados Unidos de América Práctica Global de Salud, Nutrición y Población, Banco Mundial, Washington, DC, Estados Unidos de América.
María Del Carmen Hernández RuizEscuela de Gobierno John F. Kennedy, Universidad de Harvard Cambridge Estados Unidos de América Escuela de Gobierno John F. Kennedy, Universidad de Harvard, Cambridge, Estados Unidos de América.
Pablo IbarraránDivisión de Protección Social y Salud, Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo Washington, DC Estados Unidos de América División de Protección Social y Salud, Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, Washington, DC, Estados Unidos de América.
Marco StampiniDivisión de Protección Social y Salud, Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo Washington, DC Estados Unidos de América División de Protección Social y Salud, Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, Washington, DC, Estados Unidos de América.
Inter-American Development Bank · USJohn F. Kennedy University · USUniversidad de Colima · MXWorld Health Organization Regional Office for the Americas · US

Funding

The Mexican Health and Aging Study - IIR01AG018016 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI Rebeca Wong · 1999 to 2026
$22.6M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG018016
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIdentify the factors associated with future functional dependence in the elderly in Mexico and with receiving or not receiving support for basic activities of daily living (ADLs); and project the prevalence of functional dependence in 2026.

methodsData from the 2001 National Health and Aging Study (ENASEM) and from the 2012 and 2015 follow-up rounds were used. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to analyze factors associated with future dependence, and a logistic regression model was used for factors associated with receiving or not support. The projected number of older persons with functional dependence in 2026 was based on data from the 2015 ENASEM and on estimated rates from the model of future dependence.

resultsOlder people, those with a lower educational level, those with hypertension, arthritis, or diabetes, those who had suffered a stroke or fall, and those with some degree of prior functional dependence had a significantly higher risk of mild or severe dependence and death within 11 years, compared to the reference group. Older people and those with severe dependence had higher odds of receiving support compared to reference groups. By 2026, it is estimated that 18.9% of older people in Mexico will have mild dependence and 9.3% will be severely dependent.

conclusionsFactors associated with future dependence and death were age, educational level, certain chronic diseases, having fallen, and having prior functional dependence; the factors associated with receiving support for basic ADLs were severe dependence and age. It is estimated that the prevalence of dependence will increase 2.1 times over 25 years (2001-2026).

Indexed as

Activities of daily livingaginglong-term careMexico

Identifiers

PMID34475881
PMCPMC8369130
OpenAlexW3192476496

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.