ArticleNature communications2021
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 49 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
49 citing papers in PubMed, 216 citations in OpenAlex.
- From plankton to fish: 21st-century redistribution of marine biodiversity and the changing role of rare species.Science advances · 2026Article
- Insights into the assembly mechanisms, co-occurrence patterns, and functional roles of bacterial community in an estuary system.Microbiology spectrum · 2026Article
- Nitrogen fixation rates increase with diazotroph richness in the global ocean.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Will the Mediterranean Sea Be a Cul-de-Sac for Marine Gastropods Under Climate Change?Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Inter-stock congruence of long-term changes in macroparasite communities of a small pelagic fish ¿An effect of climate change?Parasitology research · 2026Article
- Mapping of the viral shunt across widespread coccolithophore blooms using metabolic biomarkers.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Comparison of Spatio-Temporal Dynamics and Composition in Size-Fractionated and Unfractionated Northwestern Atlantic Microbial Communities.Environmental microbiology reports · 2026Article
- Warm-Loving Species Perform Well Under Limiting Resources: Trait Combinations for Future Climate.Global change biology · 2025Article
- DNA Metabarcoding as a Tool to Study Plankton Responses to Warming and Salinity Change in Mesocosms.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- The immeasurable value of plankton to humanity.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Contrasting patterns in diversity and community assembly of bacterioplankton and three size fractions of protists in the South China Sea.Applied and environmental microbiology · 2025Article
- Adaptation of Marine Heterotrophic Protists to Long-Term Warming Selection.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Regional restructuring in planktic foraminifera communities through Pliocene-early Pleistocene climate variability.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Uridine diphosphate glucose confers oxidative stress tolerance in microalgae.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Is the Gelatinous Matrix of Nassellaria (Radiolaria) a Strategy for Coping With Oligotrophy?Environmental microbiology · 2025Article
- Emergent Relationships Between the Functional Diversity of Marine Planktonic Copepods and Ecosystem Functioning in the Global Ocean.Global change biology · 2025Article
- What Does It Mean to Be(Come) Arctic? Functional and Genetic Traits of Arctic- and Temperate-Adapted Diatoms.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Global Variation in Zooplankton Niche Divergence Across Ocean Basins.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Do trophic strategies shape biogeography and environmental niches? Marine dinoflagellates as a case study.ISME communications · 2025Article
- Future climate-driven habitat loss and range shift of the Critically Endangered whitefin swellshark (PeerJ · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean's food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species' distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.