Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34465988›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2021

COPD Exacerbation History and Impact on Future Exacerbations - 8-Year Retrospective Observational Database Cohort Study from Germany.

Claus F Vogelmeier, Joanna Diesing, Nils Kossack, Marc Pignot, Felix W Friedrich

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Using a photovoice methodology to explore the impacts of living with COPD on quality of life.International journal of qualitative studies on health and well-being · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Claus F VogelmeierDepartment of Medicine, Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University Medical Center Giessen and Marburg, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Marburg, Hessen, Germany.
Joanna DiesingWIG2 GmbH Scientific Institute for Health Economics and Health System Research, Leipzig, Sachsen, Germany.
Nils KossackWIG2 GmbH Scientific Institute for Health Economics and Health System Research, Leipzig, Sachsen, Germany.
Marc PignotKantar Health, Munich, Germany.
Felix W FriedrichAstraZeneca, Wedel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8400-9445
AstraZeneca (Germany) · DEKantar (Germany) · DEPhilipps University of Marburg · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Recent studies evaluating the predictive value of different variables on future exacerbations suggest exacerbation history as the strongest predictor. We examined the effect of exacerbation history on subsequent events in a large sample population with over 250,000 COPD patients using up to 8 years of longitudinal healthcare data from Germany. Methods: Patients 40 years or older with any COPD diagnosis in primary or secondary care were included from 2011 to 2017 (index period) from healthcare insurance claims (Germany; WIG2 research database), with 12 months before index date as baseline and at least 12-month follow-up. Exacerbations during baseline were defined as moderate (treatment with oral corticosteroids or antibiotics, J01AA, J01CA) or severe (emergency visit or hospitalization). Results: Patients without (category A), with one moderate (category B), or with either one severe or several baseline exacerbations (category C) experienced an average of 0.9 (CI 0.9-0.9), 1.9 (CI 1.9-1.9), and 6.3 (CI 6.1-6.3) exacerbations during the first 3 years of follow-up, respectively. By 8 years, 87.0% (CI 86.6-87.4), 70.5% (CI 69.9-71.0) and 49.1% (CI 48.9-49.3) of category C, B and A patients had experienced a subsequent exacerbation. Conclusion: Baseline exacerbations increased the likelihood of, and reduced time to subsequent exacerbations. Even patients without baseline exacerbations experienced exacerbations within three years, emphasizing the importance of adequate treatment in patients with less severe disease presentation as well.

Indexed as

Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveDisease ProgressionGermanyHospitalizationHumansRetrospective Studieschronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseCOPDeconomic burdenexacerbationshealthcare resource utilization

Identifiers

PMID34465988
PMCPMC8402989
OpenAlexW3194543909

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.