Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34464023›Full record

ArticleMicrobial biotechnology2021

What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 'Russian flu' pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID-19.

Harald Brüssow

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Microbial biotechnology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  12. Social Health and Psychological Safety of Students Involved in Online Education during the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Evolution of viral pandemics.Medical journal, Armed Forces India · 2022
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Synthetic biology beyond borders.Microbial biotechnology · 2021
    Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Harald BrüssowDepartment of Biosystems, Laboratory of Gene Technology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-4783-8583
KU Leuven · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A study of the contemporary medical literature for patient symptoms from the so-called 'Russian flu' pandemic from 1889 revealed clinical observations that resemble COVID-19 (Brüssow and Brüssow, 2021, Microb Biotechnol). If one accepts the hypothesis that this pandemic was a prior coronavirus epidemic, the dynamics of the 'Russian flu' from 1889 might give us some ideas about the future trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic. The present report compiles and reviews the contemporary data published on the temporal and geographical spread of the 'Russian flu', its epidemic wave structure and possible later resurgence. The historical record of past pandemics might thus provide us not with predictions, but 'retrodictions' on possible future scenarios for the COVID-19 pandemic.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsDelivery of Health CareHumansRussiaSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34464023
PMCPMC8601188
OpenAlexW3197322887

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.