ArticleScientific reports2021
Functional data analysis characterizes the shapes of the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in Italy.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Combining and comparing regional SARS-CoV-2 epidemic dynamics in Italy: Bayesian meta-analysis of compartmental models and global sensitivity analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2022Pooled it
- Contrasting pre-vaccine COVID-19 waves in Italy through functional data analysis.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Healthcare Expenditure and COVID-19 in Europe: Correlation, Entropy, and Functional Data Analysis-Based Prediction of Hospitalizations and ICU Admissions.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- funBIalign: a hierachical algorithm for functional motif discovery based on mean squared residue scores.Statistics and computing · 2025Article
- Functional data analysis-based yield modeling in year-round crop cultivation.Horticulture research · 2024Article
- A Low-Cost Early Warning Method for Infectious Diseases with Asymptomatic Carriers.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Understanding spatiotemporal patterns of COVID-19 incidence in Portugal: A functional data analysis from August 2020 to March 2022.PloS one · 2024Article
- The role of the socio-economic context in the spread of the first wave of COVID-19 in the Marche Region (central Italy).International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2022Article
- Statistical inference using GLEaM model with spatial heterogeneity and correlation between regions.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Shape-restricted estimation and spatial clustering of COVID-19 infection rate curves.Spatial statistics · 2022Article
- Prognostic value of copeptin and mid-regional proadrenomedullin in COVID-19-hospitalized patients.European journal of clinical investigation · 2022Article
- Associations between Google Search Trends for Symptoms and COVID-19 Confirmed and Death Cases in the United States.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We investigate patterns of COVID-19 mortality across 20 Italian regions and their association with mobility, positivity, and socio-demographic, infrastructural and environmental covariates. Notwithstanding limitations in accuracy and resolution of the data available from public sources, we pinpoint significant trends exploiting information in curves and shapes with Functional Data Analysis techniques. These depict two starkly different epidemics; an "exponential" one unfolding in Lombardia and the worst hit areas of the north, and a milder, "flat(tened)" one in the rest of the country-including Veneto, where cases appeared concurrently with Lombardia but aggressive testing was implemented early on. We find that mobility and positivity can predict COVID-19 mortality, also when controlling for relevant covariates. Among the latter, primary care appears to mitigate mortality, and contacts in hospitals, schools and workplaces to aggravate it. The techniques we describe could capture additional and potentially sharper signals if applied to richer data.
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