ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021
Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
51 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 243 citations in OpenAlex.
- Human fertility after a disaster: a systematic literature review.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Pooled it
- Maternal and perinatal outcomes during successive and overlapping crises in Ukraine, 2019-2024: a nationwide population-based ecological study.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
- The Impact of Women's Opportunity Costs on Household Fertility Decisions: Evidence from China.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Childbearing attitudes amid successive novel infectious disease epidemics: a mixed-method experimental approach.Social forces; a scientific medium of social study and interpretation · 2026Article
- Converging fertility trajectories across developed countries, 2010-2020: implications for public health policy.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Age-specific impact of COVID-19 on birth rates in Japan: An interrupted time-series analysis using national vital statistics.PloS one · 2026Article
- Modeling the effects of pandemics on physiology-related fertility decline in society.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2026Article
- Parental socioeconomic composition of birth cohorts changed during the COVID-19 pandemic.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Profile of Mortality Due to All Causes and Patterns of Diseases of the Circulatory System in Childhood Between 2019 and 2022 in Brazil.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025Article
- Hard Hit: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on childbearing in the Hispanic/Latino population.SSM - population health · 2025Article
- Dynamic Family Size Preferences During the COVID-19 Mortality Crisis: A Research Note.Demography · 2025Article
- Swedish Fertility Developments Before, During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025Article
- Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on Fertility: An Integrative Review.The International journal of health planning and management · 2025Review
- Epidemiological characteristics of infertility, 1990-2021, and 15-year forecasts: an analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2021.Reproductive health · 2025Article
- The impact of public health shocks on fertility intentions: evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic in China.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Association between the COVID-19 vaccination campaign and fertility trends: a population-level time series analysis for 22 countries.BMJ public health · 2025Article
- Maternal Health During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States: An Interrupted Time-series Analysis.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2024Article
- Decline in and recovery of fertility rates after COVID-19-related state of emergency in Japan.BMJ open · 2024Article
- Fertility resilience varies by socioeconomic status and sex: Historical trends in childlessness across 150 years.iScience · 2024Article
- Fertility in a Pandemic: Evidence from California.Population and development review · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (-9.1%), Spain (-8.4%), and Portugal (-6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.
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