Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34461376›Full record

ArticleEnvironment international2021

Heat warnings, mortality, and hospital admissions among older adults in the United States.

Kate R Weinberger, Xiao Wu, Shengzhi Sun, Keith R Spangler, Amruta Nori-Sarma, Joel Schwartz, Weeberb Requia, Benjamin M Sabath, Danielle Braun, Antonella Zanobetti and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Heat Wave Beliefs and Behaviors in Southern Spain.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Kate R WeinbergerSchool of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, 2206 East Mall, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z3, Canada. Electronic address: kate.weinberger@ubc.ca.
Xiao WuHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Shengzhi SunBoston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
Keith R SpanglerBoston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
Amruta Nori-SarmaBoston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
Joel SchwartzHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Weeberb RequiaSchool of Public Policy and Government, Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Brasilia, SGAN (Setor de Grandes Áreas Norte) Quadra 602 - Módulos A, B e C - Asa Norte, Brasilia, DF 70830-051, Brasil.
Benjamin M SabathHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Danielle BraunHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA; Department of Data Science, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, 450 Brookline Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Antonella ZanobettiHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Francesca DominiciHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Gregory A WelleniusBoston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, Boston, MA 02118, USA.

Funding

National Cohort Studies of Alzheimer's Disease, Related Dementias and Air PollutionR01AG066793 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI ZANOBETTI, ANTONELLA · 2020 to 2025
$4.2M
Environmental Health Disparities in an Older PopulationR01MD012769 · NIMHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BELL, MICHELLE L · 2017 to 2021
$3.9M
Relationship Between Multiple Environmental Exposures and CVD Incidence and Survival: Vulnerability and SusceptibilityR01ES028033 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI DOMINICI, FRANCESCA, LADEN, FRANCINE · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Evidence to improve heat warning effectiveness in reducing morbidity and mortality.R01ES029950 · NIEHS · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI WELLENIUS, GREGORY A · 2019 to 2022
$2.5M
Causal Inference with Interference for Evaluating Air Quality PoliciesR01ES026217 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI ZIGLER, CORWIN MATTHEW · 2016 to 2021
$2.2M
Public Health Effectiveness of National Weather Service Heat WarningsF32ES027742 · NIEHS · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI WEINBERGER, KATE REBECCA · 2017 to 2019
$138k
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG066793NIEHS NIH HHS F32 ES027742NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES026217NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES028033NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES029950NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD012769Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 216033-Z-19-Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHeat warnings are issued in advance of forecast extreme heat events, yet little evidence is available regarding their effectiveness in reducing heat-related illness and death. We estimated the association of heat warnings and advisories (collectively, "alerts") issued by the United States National Weather Service with all-cause mortality and cause-specific hospitalizations among Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older in 2,817 counties, 2006-2016.

methodsIn each county, we compared days with heat alerts to days without heat alerts, matched on daily maximum heat index and month. We used conditional Poisson regression models stratified on county, adjusting for year, day of week, federal holidays, and lagged daily maximum heat index.

resultsWe identified a matched non-heat alert day for 92,029 heat alert days in 2,817 counties, or 54.6% of all heat alert days during the study period. Contrary to expectations, heat alerts were not associated with lower risk of mortality (RR: 1.005 [95% CI: 0.997, 1.013]). However, heat alerts were associated with higher risk of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders (RR: 1.040 [95% CI: 1.015, 1.065]) and heat stroke (RR: 1.094 [95% CI: 1.038, 1.152]). Results were similar in sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for same-day heat index, ozone, and PM

conclusionsOur results suggest that heat alerts are not associated with lower risk of mortality but may be associated with higher rates of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders and heat stroke, potentially suggesting that heat alerts lead more individuals to seek or access care.

Indexed as

Extreme HeatHot TemperatureAgedHospitalizationHospitalsHumansMedicareMortalityUnited StatesEarly warning systemsExtreme heatHospitalizationMedicareMortalityUnited States

Identifiers

PMID34461376
PMCPMC11549953

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.