Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34454414›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2021

Predicting postoperative surgical site infection with administrative data: a random forests algorithm.

Yelena Petrosyan, Kednapa Thavorn, Glenys Smith, Malcolm Maclure, Roanne Preston, Carl van Walravan, Alan J Forster

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Normothermia to Decrease Surgical Site Infection Risk: Silver Bullet or Fool's Gold? A Retrospective Cohort Study.Journal of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons. Global research & reviews · 2024
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yelena PetrosyanClinical Epidemiology, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, 1053 Carling Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada.
Kednapa ThavornClinical Epidemiology, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, 1053 Carling Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada. kthavorn@ohri.ca.
Glenys SmithInstitute for Clinical and Evaluative Sciences, 1053 Carling Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada.
Malcolm MaclureDepartment of Anesthesiology, Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Roanne PrestonDepartment of Anesthesiology, Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Carl van WalravanClinical Epidemiology, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, 1053 Carling Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada.
Alan J ForsterClinical Epidemiology, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, 1053 Carling Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada.

Funding

CIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSince primary data collection can be time-consuming and expensive, surgical site infections (SSIs) could ideally be monitored using routinely collected administrative data. We derived and internally validated efficient algorithms to identify SSIs within 30 days after surgery with health administrative data, using Machine Learning algorithms.

methodsAll patients enrolled in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program from the Ottawa Hospital were linked to administrative datasets in Ontario, Canada. Machine Learning approaches, including a Random Forests algorithm and the high-performance logistic regression, were used to derive parsimonious models to predict SSI status. Finally, a risk score methodology was used to transform the final models into the risk score system. The SSI risk models were validated in the validation datasets.

resultsOf 14,351 patients, 795 (5.5%) had an SSI. First, separate predictive models were built for three distinct administrative datasets. The final model, including hospitalization diagnostic, physician diagnostic and procedure codes, demonstrated excellent discrimination (C statistics, 0.91, 95% CI, 0.90-0.92) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ

conclusionWe demonstrated that health administrative data can be effectively used to identify SSIs. Machine learning algorithms have shown a high degree of accuracy in predicting postoperative SSIs and can integrate and utilize a large amount of administrative data. External validation of this model is required before it can be routinely used to identify SSIs.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsSurgical Wound InfectionHumansLogistic ModelsOntarioRisk FactorsAdministrative dataData miningMachine learningPredictive modelingRandom forestsSurgical site infection

Identifiers

PMID34454414
PMCPMC8403439

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.