Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34452307›Full record

ArticleViruses2021

Serological Evidence of Widespread Zika Transmission across the Philippines.

Joseph R Biggs, Ava Kristy Sy, Oliver J Brady, Adam J Kucharski, Sebastian Funk, Yun-Hung Tu, Mary Anne Joy Reyes, Mary Ann Quinones, William Jones-Warner, James Ashall and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Trends in ELISA-Based Flavivirus IgG Serosurveys: A Systematic Review.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Joseph R BiggsDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7273-874X
Ava Kristy SyDepartment of Virology, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila 1781, Philippines.
Oliver J BradyDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3235-2129
Adam J KucharskiDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Sebastian FunkDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Yun-Hung TuDepartment of Molecular Parasitology and Tropical Diseases, Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 11031, Taiwan.
Mary Anne Joy ReyesDepartment of Virology, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila 1781, Philippines.
Mary Ann QuinonesDepartment of Virology, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila 1781, Philippines.
William Jones-WarnerDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
James AshallDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Ferchito L AvelinoDepartment of Health, Philippine Epidemiology Bureau, Manila 1003, Philippines.
Nemia L SucalditoDepartment of Health, Philippine Epidemiology Bureau, Manila 1003, Philippines.
Amado O TandocDepartment of Virology, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila 1781, Philippines.ORCID 0000-0002-2186-4989
Eva Cutiongco-de la PazInstitute of Human Genetics, University of the Philippines, Manila 1000, Philippines.
Maria Rosario Z CapedingDengue Study Group, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila 1781, Philippines.
Carmencita D PadillaInstitute of Human Genetics, University of the Philippines, Manila 1000, Philippines.
Martin L HibberdDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8587-1849
Julius Clemence R HafallaDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBResearch Institute for Tropical Medicine · PHDepartment of Health · PHUniversity of the Philippines Manila · PHTaipei Medical University · TW

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/V031112/1Wellcome Trust 206250/Z/17/ZWellcome Trust 206471/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Zika virus (ZIKV) exposure across flavivirus-endemic countries, including the Philippines, remains largely unknown despite sporadic case reporting and environmental suitability for transmission. Using laboratory surveillance data from 2016, 997 serum samples were randomly selected from suspected dengue (DENV) case reports across the Philippines and assayed for serological markers of short-term (IgM) and long-term (IgG) ZIKV exposure. Using mixture models, we re-evaluated ZIKV IgM/G seroprevalence thresholds and used catalytic models to quantify the force of infection (attack rate, AR) from age-accumulated ZIKV exposure. While we observed extensive ZIKV/DENV IgG cross-reactivity, not all individuals with active DENV presented with elevated ZIKV IgG, and a proportion of dengue-negative cases (DENV IgG-) were ZIKV IgG-positive (14.3%, 9/63). We identified evidence of long-term, yet not short-term, ZIKV exposure across Philippine regions (ZIKV IgG+: 31.5%, 314/997) which was geographically uncorrelated with DENV exposure. In contrast to the DENV AR (12.7% (95%CI: 9.1-17.4%)), the ZIKV AR was lower (5.7% (95%CI: 3-11%)) across the country. Our results provide evidence of widespread ZIKV exposure across the Philippines and suggest the need for studies to identify ZIKV infection risk factors over time to better prepare for potential future outbreaks.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAntibodies, ViralChildCross ReactionsDengueDengue VirusFemaleHumansImmunoglobulin GImmunoglobulin MMalePhilippinesSeroepidemiologic StudiesYoung AdultZika VirusAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin GImmunoglobulin Mdenguediagnosticsforce of infectionPhilippinesserologyZika

Identifiers

PMID34452307
PMCPMC8402696
OpenAlexW3186603994

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.